TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13047474
Played Aug 30Finished
Lukas Soucek
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012411117611––
Tomas Vorisek
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:38 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeTomas Vorisek to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingLukas Soucek above · Tomas Vorisek below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 4-8
Point 67 set 4, 4-8 — our read held Tomas Vorisek at 58.1%
67 points drawn · the score is 5 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Lukas Soucek 19–25 Tomas Vorisek Lukas Soucek has won 19 of their 44 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:38What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vorisek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-25 in 44
Vorisek
Correct
gap of 6 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Soucek 1523 vs Vorisek 1873
Vorisek
Correct
both rated, 350 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Soucek 20% vs Vorisek 100%
Vorisek
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Soucek 20% vs Vorisek 100%
Vorisek
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Soucek -4 · Vorisek +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Vorisek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vorisek form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSoucek 2.20 / Vorisek 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Vorisek)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13047474
Soucek2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 6 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back15% 2 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Vorisek1.61
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 96 of 161
Up 2–0, closes it96% 49 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it84% 73 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSoucek3wins
AwayVorisek7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderVorisek leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSoucek50%2 of 4
AwayVorisek83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Soucek4Vorisek6n = 10Vorisek took 6 of 10
S2Soucek2Vorisek8n = 10Vorisek took 8 of 10
S3Soucek4Vorisek6n = 10Vorisek took 6 of 10
S4Soucek3Vorisek2n = 5Soucek took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricSoucekVorisekS − VBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match28.735.8−7.1per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSoucekVorisekBasisWin rate · lifetime74 / 160 vs 418 / 81246.3%51.5%74 / 160 vs 418 / 812Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorisekSoucek 2.20/Vorisek 1.61
Hit
What we said
58.1%
Vorisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vorisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LApr 8 · 16:25L. Soucek—1940T. Vorisek—1111113
LMar 18 · 18:25L. Soucek—5650T. Vorisek—1111113
LMar 12 · 19:30L. Soucek—691581T. Vorisek—111113113
LMar 12 · 15:55L. Soucek—9580T. Vorisek—1111113
LMar 4 · 17:55L. Soucek—115841T. Vorisek—41111113
WMar 1 · 15:45L. Soucek—101111113T. Vorisek—129691
WMar 1 · 13:25L. Soucek—11911113T. Vorisek—811781
LFeb 19 · 19:10L. Soucek—44110T. Vorisek—1111133
WFeb 19 · 15:55L. Soucek—1111123T. Vorisek—89100
LFeb 14 · 07:55L. Soucek—11211162T. Vorisek—711114113
L. Soucek10
LAug 30 · 18:00F. Strejc1.631111133L. Soucek2.1375110LAug 30 · 15:55L. Soucek2.103960M. Stusek1.671111113LAug 30 · 14:55L. Soucek1.807490F. Strejc1.911111113LAug 27 · 18:10L. Soucek1.835930F. Strejc1.831111113LAug 27 · 16:55T. Vorisek1.6751111113L. Soucek2.10116771WAug 27 · 16:25F. Strejc1.57913151162L. Soucek2.251115138113LAug 27 · 15:25L. Soucek2.00710111482T. Flicek1.731112512113LApr 8 · 18:00L. Soucek1.80129651M. Stusek1.91101111113LApr 8 · 16:55F. Strejc1.83161211113L. Soucek1.831810981LApr 8 · 16:25T. Vorisek1.731111113L. Soucek2.001940
T. Vorisek10
LSep 6 · 17:55M. Stusek2.051111113T. Vorisek1.707890WSep 6 · 16:50F. Strejc2.25119771T. Vorisek1.5781111113LSep 6 · 15:50T. Vorisek1.839860M. Stusek1.831111113WSep 6 · 14:20D. Jicha1.838125111T. Vorisek1.83111011133LSep 4 · 21:50J. Zlamal1.801211113T. Vorisek1.9110920WSep 4 · 20:20T. Vorisek1.831112113M. Stusek1.8371070LSep 4 · 19:20T. Vorisek2.204950J. Zlamal1.611111113WSep 4 · 18:20T. Vorisek1.61681113113F. Strejc2.20111111182WAug 27 · 16:55T. Vorisek1.6751111113L. Soucek2.10116771WApr 8 · 16:25T. Vorisek1.731111113L. Soucek2.001940
Upcoming Matches
L. Soucek
Nothing scheduled
T. Vorisek1 of 3 neutral
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