TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #11717250
Played Apr 8Finished
Lukas Soucek
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210911611511––
Martin Stusek
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingLukas Soucek above · Martin Stusek below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 75 set 4, 5-11
75 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Soucek 13–17 Martin Stusek Lukas Soucek has won 13 of their 30 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stusek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stusek form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSoucek 1.80 / Stusek 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Stusek)+5.8pp
TT Cup · #11717250
Soucek1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Stusek1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSoucek6wins
AwayStusek4wins
Soucek leads 6–4.
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Soucek6Stusek4n = 10Soucek took 6 of 10
S2Soucek3Stusek7n = 10Stusek took 7 of 10
S3Soucek4Stusek6n = 10Stusek took 6 of 10
S4Soucek4Stusek2n = 6Soucek took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSoucekStusekSoucek − StusekBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match32.436.4−4.0per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSoucekStusekBasisWin rate · lifetime95 / 211 vs 389 / 82545%47.2%95 / 211 vs 389 / 825Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StusekSoucek 1.80/Stusek 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.3%
Stusek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stusek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
L—L. Soucek—1M. Stusek—3
W—L. Soucek—3M. Stusek—1
L—L. Soucek—3M. Stusek—0
L—L. Soucek—0M. Stusek—3
L—L. Soucek—3M. Stusek—0
W—L. Soucek—2M. Stusek—3
W—L. Soucek—3M. Stusek—0
W—L. Soucek—3M. Stusek—2
W—L. Soucek—3M. Stusek—1
W—L. Soucek—1M. Stusek—3
L. Soucek10
LAug 30 · 18:00F. Strejc1.631111133L. Soucek2.1375110LAug 30 · 16:55L. Soucek2.201041161T. Vorisek1.6112117113LAug 30 · 15:55L. Soucek2.103960M. Stusek1.671111113LAug 30 · 14:55L. Soucek1.807490F. Strejc1.911111113LAug 27 · 18:10L. Soucek1.835930F. Strejc1.831111113LAug 27 · 16:55T. Vorisek1.6751111113L. Soucek2.10116771WAug 27 · 16:25F. Strejc1.57913151162L. Soucek2.251115138113LAug 27 · 15:25L. Soucek2.00710111482T. Flicek1.731112512113LApr 8 · 16:55F. Strejc1.83161211113L. Soucek1.831810981LApr 8 · 16:25T. Vorisek1.731111113L. Soucek2.001940
M. Stusek10
WSep 6 · 17:55M. Stusek2.051111113T. Vorisek1.707890WSep 6 · 16:20D. Jicha1.611177111M. Stusek2.2061111133WSep 6 · 15:50T. Vorisek1.839860M. Stusek1.831111113LSep 6 · 14:50M. Stusek1.80101080F. Strejc1.911212113WSep 4 · 21:20M. Stusek1.831411113F. Strejc1.8712980LSep 4 · 20:20T. Vorisek1.831112113M. Stusek1.8371070WSep 4 · 19:50F. Strejc1.8371080M. Stusek1.831112113WSep 4 · 18:50M. Stusek2.63111175113J. Zlamal1.4496111162LSep 1 · 21:58M. Stusek2.2099110T. Vorisek1.611111133WAug 30 · 15:55L. Soucek2.103960M. Stusek1.671111113
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