TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13031725
Played Aug 27Finished
Lukas Soucek
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511911311––––
Filip Strejc
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingLukas Soucek above · Filip Strejc below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 50 set 3, 3-11
50 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Soucek 17–17 Filip Strejc Dead even across their 34 meetings.
Last 10 · 7–3Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Strejc)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Strejc form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSoucek 1.83 / Strejc 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Strejc)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13031725
Soucek1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Strejc1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSoucek7wins
AwayStrejc3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSoucek leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSoucek75%6 of 8
AwayStrejcn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Soucek8Strejc2n = 10Soucek took 8 of 10
S2Soucek4Strejc6n = 10Strejc took 6 of 10
S3Soucek4Strejc6n = 10Strejc took 6 of 10
S4Soucek4Strejc4n = 8split evenly
S5Soucek3Strejc0n = 3Soucek took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSoucekStrejcSoucek − StrejcBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match42.440.3+2.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSoucekStrejcBasisWin rate · lifetime91 / 205 vs 222 / 47844.4%46.4%91 / 205 vs 222 / 478Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrejcSoucek 1.83/Strejc 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Strejc · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Strejc won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 16:25L. Soucek—1115138113F. Strejc—913151162
LApr 8 · 16:55L. Soucek—1810981F. Strejc—161211113
WApr 2 · 14:55L. Soucek—13611113F. Strejc—1111681
WMar 14 · 09:55L. Soucek—1111173F. Strejc—65150
WMar 1 · 12:25L. Soucek—121011113F. Strejc—1012551
WFeb 25 · 19:30L. Soucek—12139113F. Strejc—10111191
WFeb 25 · 17:25L. Soucek—111187113F. Strejc—85111122
LFeb 19 · 17:55L. Soucek—8970F. Strejc—1111113
WFeb 4 · 19:00L. Soucek—841311133F. Strejc—1111119112
LFeb 4 · 17:55L. Soucek—118391F. Strejc—81111113
L. Soucek10
LAug 30 · 18:00F. Strejc1.631111133L. Soucek2.1375110LAug 30 · 16:55L. Soucek2.201041161T. Vorisek1.6112117113LAug 30 · 15:55L. Soucek2.103960M. Stusek1.671111113LAug 30 · 14:55L. Soucek1.807490F. Strejc1.911111113LAug 27 · 16:55T. Vorisek1.6751111113L. Soucek2.10116771WAug 27 · 16:25F. Strejc1.57913151162L. Soucek2.251115138113LAug 27 · 15:25L. Soucek2.00710111482T. Flicek1.731112512113LApr 8 · 18:00L. Soucek1.80129651M. Stusek1.91101111113LApr 8 · 16:55F. Strejc1.83161211113L. Soucek1.831810981LApr 8 · 16:25T. Vorisek1.731111113L. Soucek2.001940
F. Strejc10
LSep 6 · 17:25D. Jicha1.6511118113F. Strejc2.10991181LSep 6 · 16:50F. Strejc2.25119771T. Vorisek1.5781111113LSep 6 · 15:20D. Jicha1.73711311183F. Strejc2.00118111162WSep 6 · 14:50M. Stusek1.80101080F. Strejc1.911212113LSep 4 · 21:20M. Stusek1.831411113F. Strejc1.8712980LSep 4 · 20:50J. Zlamal1.4461111113F. Strejc2.63116751WAug 30 · 18:00F. Strejc1.631111133L. Soucek2.1375110WAug 30 · 14:55L. Soucek1.807490F. Strejc1.911111113LAug 27 · 16:25F. Strejc1.57913151162L. Soucek2.251115138113WApr 8 · 16:55F. Strejc1.83161211113L. Soucek1.831810981
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