TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #11715440
Played Apr 8Finished
Filip Strejc
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
16181210119118––
Lukas Soucek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingFilip Strejc above · Lukas Soucek below
Set 1 · 16-18
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 10-9
Point 75 set 3, 10-9
75 points drawn · the score is 20 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Filip Strejc 17–16 Lukas Soucek Lukas Soucek has won 16 of their 33 meetings.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Strejc)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Soucek form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrejc 1.83 / Soucek 1.83
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Strejc)+8.2pp
TT Cup · #11715440
Strejc1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Soucek1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrejc4wins
AwaySoucek6wins
Soucek leads 6–4.
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strejc3Soucek7n = 10Soucek took 7 of 10
S2Strejc7Soucek3n = 10Strejc took 7 of 10
S3Strejc5Soucek5n = 10split evenly
S4Strejc4Soucek4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrejcSoucekStrejc − SoucekBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.439.2+0.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrejcSoucekBasisWin rate · lifetime264 / 557 vs 95 / 21147.4%45%264 / 557 vs 95 / 211Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrejcStrejc 1.83/Soucek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.2%
Strejc · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Strejc won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
W—F. Strejc—3L. Soucek—1
L—F. Strejc—3L. Soucek—1
L—F. Strejc—3L. Soucek—0
L—F. Strejc—3L. Soucek—1
L—F. Strejc—3L. Soucek—1
L—F. Strejc—2L. Soucek—3
W—F. Strejc—0L. Soucek—3
L—F. Strejc—2L. Soucek—3
W—F. Strejc—1L. Soucek—3
W—F. Strejc—1L. Soucek—3
F. Strejc10
LSep 6 · 17:25D. Jicha1.6511118113F. Strejc2.10991181LSep 6 · 16:50F. Strejc2.25119771T. Vorisek1.5781111113LSep 6 · 15:20D. Jicha1.73711311183F. Strejc2.00118111162WSep 6 · 14:50M. Stusek1.80101080F. Strejc1.911212113LSep 4 · 21:20M. Stusek1.831411113F. Strejc1.8712980LSep 4 · 20:50J. Zlamal1.4461111113F. Strejc2.63116751LSep 4 · 19:50F. Strejc1.8371080M. Stusek1.831112113LSep 4 · 18:20T. Vorisek1.61681113113F. Strejc2.20111111182WSep 2 · 17:54T. Flicek1.91912641F. Strejc1.80111011113LSep 2 · 16:55F. Strejc1.8391121182T. Flicek1.83119116113
L. Soucek10
LAug 30 · 18:00F. Strejc1.631111133L. Soucek2.1375110LAug 30 · 16:55L. Soucek2.201041161T. Vorisek1.6112117113LAug 30 · 15:55L. Soucek2.103960M. Stusek1.671111113LAug 30 · 14:55L. Soucek1.807490F. Strejc1.911111113LAug 27 · 18:10L. Soucek1.835930F. Strejc1.831111113LAug 27 · 16:55T. Vorisek1.6751111113L. Soucek2.10116771WAug 27 · 16:25F. Strejc1.57913151162L. Soucek2.251115138113LAug 27 · 15:25L. Soucek2.00710111482T. Flicek1.731112512113LApr 8 · 18:00L. Soucek1.80129651M. Stusek1.91101111113LApr 8 · 16:25T. Vorisek1.731111113L. Soucek2.001940
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