TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12459443
Played Aug 19Finished
Filip Strejc
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119311116511119
Tomas Flicek
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:02 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Flicek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingFilip Strejc above · Tomas Flicek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 87 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Tomas Flicek at 54.0%
87 points played in total.
H2H Filip Strejc 18–14 Tomas Flicek Tomas Flicek has won 14 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:02What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Flicek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-14 in 32
Strejc
Correct
gap of 4 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Strejc 1676 vs Flicek 1673
Strejc
Correct
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strejc 40% vs Flicek 80%
Flicek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strejc 50% vs Flicek 80%
Flicek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Strejc -2 · Flicek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Strejc) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Flicek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrejc 1.83 / Flicek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Strejc)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #12459443
Strejc1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Flicek1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStrejc6wins
AwayFlicek4wins
7 of 10 to a deciderStrejc leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStrejc66.7%4 of 6
AwayFlicek50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Strejc6Flicek4n = 10Strejc took 6 of 10
S2Strejc6Flicek4n = 10Strejc took 6 of 10
S3Strejc4Flicek6n = 10Flicek took 6 of 10
S4Strejc4Flicek5n = 9Flicek took 5 of 9
S5Strejc4Flicek3n = 7Strejc took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStrejcFlicekS − FBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.941.4−0.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrejcFlicekBasisWin rate · lifetime216 / 471 vs 66 / 13445.9%49.3%216 / 471 vs 66 / 134Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrejcStrejc 1.83/Flicek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Strejc · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Strejc won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 19 · 15:55F. Strejc—113115113T. Flicek—91161192
LMar 26 · 17:55F. Strejc—113111082T. Flicek—611312113
WFeb 25 · 18:25F. Strejc—11119113T. Flicek—671181
WFeb 19 · 19:40F. Strejc—11119783T. Flicek—76111142
WFeb 19 · 16:25F. Strejc—711411113T. Flicek—11611772
LFeb 4 · 17:25F. Strejc—111171292T. Flicek—1381110103
WJan 22 · 15:55F. Strejc—11811123T. Flicek—9115101
WJan 14 · 19:35F. Strejc—911115113T. Flicek—11861192
LJan 14 · 18:25F. Strejc—10560T. Flicek—1211113
LJan 10 · 08:25F. Strejc—11116322T. Flicek—671111113
F. Strejc10
LSep 6 · 17:25D. Jicha1.6511118113F. Strejc2.10991181LSep 6 · 16:50F. Strejc2.25119771T. Vorisek1.5781111113LSep 6 · 15:20D. Jicha1.73711311183F. Strejc2.00118111162WSep 6 · 14:50M. Stusek1.80101080F. Strejc1.911212113LSep 4 · 21:20M. Stusek1.831411113F. Strejc1.8712980LSep 4 · 20:50J. Zlamal1.4461111113F. Strejc2.63116751LSep 4 · 19:50F. Strejc1.8371080M. Stusek1.831112113LSep 4 · 18:20T. Vorisek1.61681113113F. Strejc2.20111111182WSep 2 · 17:54T. Flicek1.91912641F. Strejc1.80111011113LSep 2 · 16:55F. Strejc1.8391121182T. Flicek1.83119116113
T. Flicek10
LSep 2 · 17:54T. Flicek1.91912641F. Strejc1.80111011113WSep 2 · 16:55F. Strejc1.8391121182T. Flicek1.83119116113LSep 2 · 16:25T. Vorisek1.80111110113T. Flicek1.91341251LSep 2 · 15:25T. Flicek2.10112971D. Jicha1.6781111113LAug 27 · 18:40T. Vorisek1.80581111113T. Flicek1.9111117582WAug 27 · 17:25T. Flicek1.838121011113F. Strejc1.83111012882LAug 27 · 15:55T. Vorisek1.831111113T. Flicek1.838870WAug 27 · 15:25L. Soucek2.00710111482T. Flicek1.731112512113LAug 19 · 17:58T. Flicek1.837511141T. Vorisek1.8311118163WAug 19 · 17:25T. Flicek1.8311511153T. Vorisek1.838118131
Upcoming Matches
F. Strejc
Nothing scheduled
T. Flicek
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