TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13029472
Played Aug 27Finished
Tomas Flicek
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
81112101012118118
Filip Strejc
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFilip Strejc to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Flicek above · Filip Strejc below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 101 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Filip Strejc at 54.0%
101 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Flicek 15–18 Filip Strejc Tomas Flicek has won 15 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:39What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Strejc
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-18 in 33
Strejc
Wrong
gap of 3 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Flicek 1663 vs Strejc 1746
Strejc
Wrong
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Flicek 40% vs Strejc 60%
Strejc
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Flicek 60% vs Strejc 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Flicek -1 · Strejc -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Strejc)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Flicek form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFlicek 1.83 / Strejc 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Strejc)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13029472
Flicek1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Strejc1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFlicek4wins
AwayStrejc6wins
7 of 10 to a deciderStrejc leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFlicek50%2 of 4
AwayStrejc66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Flicek4Strejc6n = 10Strejc took 6 of 10
S2Flicek5Strejc5n = 10split evenly
S3Flicek5Strejc5n = 10split evenly
S4Flicek5Strejc4n = 9Flicek took 5 of 9
S5Flicek3Strejc4n = 7Strejc took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFlicekStrejcF − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.042.5−0.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFlicekStrejcBasisWin rate · lifetime59 / 119 vs 223 / 47949.6%46.6%59 / 119 vs 223 / 479Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrejcFlicek 1.83/Strejc 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Strejc · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Flicek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 17:25T. Flicek—8121011113F. Strejc—111012882
LAug 19 · 15:55T. Flicek—91161192F. Strejc—113115113
WMar 26 · 17:55T. Flicek—611312113F. Strejc—113111082
LFeb 25 · 18:25T. Flicek—671181F. Strejc—11119113
LFeb 19 · 19:40T. Flicek—76111142F. Strejc—11119783
LFeb 19 · 16:25T. Flicek—11611772F. Strejc—711411113
WFeb 4 · 17:25T. Flicek—1381110103F. Strejc—111171292
LJan 22 · 15:55T. Flicek—9115101F. Strejc—11811123
LJan 14 · 19:35T. Flicek—11861192F. Strejc—911115113
WJan 14 · 18:25T. Flicek—1211113F. Strejc—10560
T. Flicek10
LSep 2 · 17:54T. Flicek1.91912641F. Strejc1.80111011113WSep 2 · 16:55F. Strejc1.8391121182T. Flicek1.83119116113LSep 2 · 16:25T. Vorisek1.80111110113T. Flicek1.91341251LSep 2 · 15:25T. Flicek2.10112971D. Jicha1.6781111113LAug 27 · 18:40T. Vorisek1.80581111113T. Flicek1.9111117582LAug 27 · 15:55T. Vorisek1.831111113T. Flicek1.838870WAug 27 · 15:25L. Soucek2.00710111482T. Flicek1.731112512113LAug 19 · 17:58T. Flicek1.837511141T. Vorisek1.8311118163WAug 19 · 17:25T. Flicek1.8311511153T. Vorisek1.838118131LAug 19 · 15:55F. Strejc1.83113115113T. Flicek1.8391161192
F. Strejc10
LSep 6 · 17:25D. Jicha1.6511118113F. Strejc2.10991181LSep 6 · 16:50F. Strejc2.25119771T. Vorisek1.5781111113LSep 6 · 15:20D. Jicha1.73711311183F. Strejc2.00118111162WSep 6 · 14:50M. Stusek1.80101080F. Strejc1.911212113LSep 4 · 21:20M. Stusek1.831411113F. Strejc1.8712980LSep 4 · 20:50J. Zlamal1.4461111113F. Strejc2.63116751LSep 4 · 19:50F. Strejc1.8371080M. Stusek1.831112113WSep 2 · 17:54T. Flicek1.91912641F. Strejc1.80111011113LSep 2 · 16:55F. Strejc1.8391121182T. Flicek1.83119116113WAug 19 · 15:55F. Strejc1.83113115113T. Flicek1.8391161192
Upcoming Matches
T. Flicek
F. Strejc
Nothing scheduled
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