TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13031724
Played Aug 27Finished
Tomas Vorisek
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
511811117115118
Tomas Flicek
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Vorisek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Vorisek above · Tomas Flicek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 88 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Tomas Vorisek at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Vorisek 13–11 Tomas Flicek Tomas Flicek has won 11 of their 24 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:11What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Vorisek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-11 in 24
Vorisek
Correct
gap of 2 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vorisek 1835 vs Flicek 1663
Vorisek
Correct
both rated, 173 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vorisek 80% vs Flicek 60%
Vorisek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vorisek 60% vs Flicek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vorisek +3 · Flicek +1
Vorisek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vorisek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vorisek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVorisek 1.80 / Flicek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vorisek)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13031724
Vorisek1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 89 of 156
Up 2–0, closes it96% 44 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it83% 68 of 82
Flicek1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVorisek5wins
AwayFlicek5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVorisek100%3 of 3
AwayFlicek71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vorisek3Flicek7n = 10Flicek took 7 of 10
S2Vorisek7Flicek3n = 10Vorisek took 7 of 10
S3Vorisek5Flicek5n = 10split evenly
S4Vorisek4Flicek5n = 9Flicek took 5 of 9
S5Vorisek2Flicek1n = 3Vorisek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVorisekFlicekV − FBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.937.4+1.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVorisekFlicekBasisWin rate · lifetime419 / 815 vs 59 / 11951.4%49.6%419 / 815 vs 59 / 119Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorisekVorisek 1.80/Flicek 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vorisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vorisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 18:40T. Vorisek—581111113T. Flicek—11117582
WAug 27 · 15:55T. Vorisek—1111113T. Flicek—8870
WAug 19 · 17:58T. Vorisek—11118163T. Flicek—7511141
LAug 19 · 17:25T. Vorisek—8118131T. Flicek—11511153
LMar 26 · 19:30T. Vorisek—61281162T. Flicek—1110117113
LMar 26 · 17:25T. Vorisek—471151T. Flicek—11114113
WMar 18 · 19:25T. Vorisek—91111123T. Flicek—1154101
LMar 18 · 15:55T. Vorisek—961161T. Flicek—11113113
LMar 12 · 18:25T. Vorisek—811571T. Flicek—11211113
WMar 4 · 19:26T. Vorisek—111178113T. Flicek—85111172
T. Vorisek10
LSep 6 · 17:55M. Stusek2.051111113T. Vorisek1.707890WSep 6 · 16:50F. Strejc2.25119771T. Vorisek1.5781111113LSep 6 · 15:50T. Vorisek1.839860M. Stusek1.831111113WSep 6 · 14:20D. Jicha1.838125111T. Vorisek1.83111011133LSep 4 · 21:50J. Zlamal1.801211113T. Vorisek1.9110920WSep 4 · 20:20T. Vorisek1.831112113M. Stusek1.8371070LSep 4 · 19:20T. Vorisek2.204950J. Zlamal1.611111113WSep 4 · 18:20T. Vorisek1.61681113113F. Strejc2.20111111182LSep 2 · 18:25T. Vorisek2.02287111092D. Jicha1.652611812113WSep 2 · 17:25D. Jicha1.73115971T. Vorisek2.0061111113
T. Flicek10
LSep 2 · 17:54T. Flicek1.91912641F. Strejc1.80111011113WSep 2 · 16:55F. Strejc1.8391121182T. Flicek1.83119116113LSep 2 · 16:25T. Vorisek1.80111110113T. Flicek1.91341251LSep 2 · 15:25T. Flicek2.10112971D. Jicha1.6781111113WAug 27 · 17:25T. Flicek1.838121011113F. Strejc1.83111012882LAug 27 · 15:55T. Vorisek1.831111113T. Flicek1.838870WAug 27 · 15:25L. Soucek2.00710111482T. Flicek1.731112512113LAug 19 · 17:58T. Flicek1.837511141T. Vorisek1.8311118163WAug 19 · 17:25T. Flicek1.8311511153T. Vorisek1.838118131LAug 19 · 15:55F. Strejc1.83113115113T. Flicek1.8391161192
Upcoming Matches
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T. Flicek
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