TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13094211
Played Sep 7Finished
David Jicha
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311117116––––
Tomas Vorisek
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:53 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeDavid Jicha to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Jicha above · Tomas Vorisek below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 59 set 3, 11-6 — our read held David Jicha at 54.9%
59 points played in total.
H2H David Jicha 97–82 Tomas Vorisek Tomas Vorisek has won 82 of their 179 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Jicha beat Vorisek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:53What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vorisek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
97-82 in 179
Jicha
Correct
gap of 15 in 179, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jicha 1786 vs Vorisek 1783
Jicha
Correct
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jicha 80% vs Vorisek 60%
Jicha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jicha 70% vs Vorisek 50%
Jicha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jicha +4 · Vorisek -1
Jicha
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Vorisek) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jicha form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJicha 2.10 / Vorisek 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Vorisek)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13094211
Jicha2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog50% won 20 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back39% 9 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Vorisek1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 102 of 170
Up 2–0, closes it96% 53 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it85% 77 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJicha5wins
AwayVorisek5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJicha80%4 of 5
AwayVorisek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jicha5Vorisek5n = 10split evenly
S2Jicha5Vorisek5n = 10split evenly
S3Jicha5Vorisek5n = 10split evenly
S4Jicha2Vorisek3n = 5Vorisek took 3 of 5
S5Jicha2Vorisek1n = 3Jicha took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricJichaVorisekJ − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.539.1+0.4per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJichaVorisekBasisWin rate · lifetime182 / 355 vs 416 / 80651.3%51.6%182 / 355 vs 416 / 806Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.337.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorisekJicha 2.10/Vorisek 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Vorisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jicha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 17:25D. Jicha—1211113T. Vorisek—10660
LSep 6 · 14:20D. Jicha—8125111T. Vorisek—111011133
WSep 2 · 18:25D. Jicha—2611812113T. Vorisek—287111092
LSep 2 · 17:25D. Jicha—115971T. Vorisek—61111113
LAug 28 · 22:10D. Jicha—4990T. Vorisek—1111113
LAug 28 · 19:20D. Jicha—8101113102T. Vorisek—1112811123
WAug 23 · 09:25D. Jicha—1711113T. Vorisek—15480
WAug 21 · 19:25D. Jicha—156118113T. Vorisek—131161192
WAug 16 · 09:25D. Jicha—1111113T. Vorisek—9650
LAug 14 · 22:29D. Jicha—91270T. Vorisek—1114113
D. Jicha10
WSep 7 · 17:25D. Jicha1.731211113T. Vorisek2.0010660WSep 7 · 15:55V. Benak1.835640D. Jicha1.831111113WSep 7 · 15:25T. Flicek2.0017111172D. Jicha1.73111169113WSep 6 · 17:25D. Jicha1.6511118113F. Strejc2.10991181LSep 6 · 16:20D. Jicha1.611177111M. Stusek2.2061111133WSep 6 · 15:20D. Jicha1.73711311183F. Strejc2.00118111162LSep 6 · 14:20D. Jicha1.838125111T. Vorisek1.83111011133WSep 2 · 18:25T. Vorisek2.02287111092D. Jicha1.652611812113LSep 2 · 17:25D. Jicha1.73115971T. Vorisek2.0061111113WSep 2 · 15:55F. Strejc2.207111051D. Jicha1.6111812113
T. Vorisek10
LSep 7 · 17:25D. Jicha1.731211113T. Vorisek2.0010660WSep 7 · 16:25T. Vorisek1.731411113T. Flicek2.0012780WSep 7 · 14:55V. Benak2.008750T. Vorisek1.731111113LSep 6 · 17:55M. Stusek2.051111113T. Vorisek1.707890WSep 6 · 16:50F. Strejc2.25119771T. Vorisek1.5781111113LSep 6 · 15:50T. Vorisek1.839860M. Stusek1.831111113WSep 6 · 14:20D. Jicha1.838125111T. Vorisek1.83111011133LSep 4 · 21:50J. Zlamal1.801211113T. Vorisek1.9110920LSep 2 · 18:25T. Vorisek2.02287111092D. Jicha1.652611812113WSep 2 · 17:25D. Jicha1.73115971T. Vorisek2.0061111113
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