TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13057934
Played Sep 1Finished
Tomas Vorisek
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11914121210––––
Jaromir Zlamal
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Vorisek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Vorisek above · Jaromir Zlamal below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 68 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Tomas Vorisek at 54.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Vorisek 56–106 Jaromir Zlamal Tomas Vorisek has won 56 of their 162 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:23What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Zlamal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
56-106 in 162
Zlamal
Wrong
gap of 50 in 162, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vorisek 1858 vs Zlamal 1819
Vorisek
Correct
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vorisek 80% vs Zlamal 60%
Vorisek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vorisek 90% vs Zlamal 60%
Vorisek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vorisek -1 · Zlamal +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Zlamal) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vorisek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVorisek 2.00 / Zlamal 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Zlamal)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13057934
Vorisek2.00
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 89 of 187
Down 0–1, comes back24% 22 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 49
Zlamal1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 82 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it98% 45 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it87% 61 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVorisek5wins
AwayZlamal5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVorisek71.4%5 of 7
AwayZlamal100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vorisek7Zlamal3n = 10Vorisek took 7 of 10
S2Vorisek6Zlamal4n = 10Vorisek took 6 of 10
S3Vorisek3Zlamal7n = 10Zlamal took 7 of 10
S4Vorisek2Zlamal2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricVorisekZlamalV − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match33.033.2−0.2per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVorisekZlamalBasisWin rate · lifetime415 / 806 vs 197 / 32251.5%61.2%415 / 806 vs 197 / 322Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZlamalVorisek 2.00/Zlamal 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.9%
Zlamal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vorisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 26 · 21:55T. Vorisek—1111133J. Zlamal—58110
LAug 24 · 22:35T. Vorisek—11132862J. Zlamal—5111111113
LAug 24 · 19:25T. Vorisek—95110J. Zlamal—1111133
WAug 17 · 22:25T. Vorisek—11116123J. Zlamal—9111101
WAug 17 · 19:25T. Vorisek—1112123J. Zlamal—510100
LAug 11 · 22:35T. Vorisek—5760J. Zlamal—1111113
WAug 11 · 19:25T. Vorisek—1112113J. Zlamal—71070
LJul 31 · 21:55T. Vorisek—8970J. Zlamal—1111113
LJul 31 · 20:50T. Vorisek—1177101J. Zlamal—31111123
WJul 28 · 22:25T. Vorisek—11118143J. Zlamal—9911121
T. Vorisek10
LSep 6 · 17:55M. Stusek2.051111113T. Vorisek1.707890WSep 6 · 16:50F. Strejc2.25119771T. Vorisek1.5781111113LSep 6 · 15:50T. Vorisek1.839860M. Stusek1.831111113WSep 6 · 14:20D. Jicha1.838125111T. Vorisek1.83111011133LSep 4 · 21:50J. Zlamal1.801211113T. Vorisek1.9110920WSep 4 · 20:20T. Vorisek1.831112113M. Stusek1.8371070LSep 4 · 19:20T. Vorisek2.204950J. Zlamal1.611111113WSep 4 · 18:20T. Vorisek1.61681113113F. Strejc2.20111111182LSep 2 · 18:25T. Vorisek2.02287111092D. Jicha1.652611812113WSep 2 · 17:25D. Jicha1.73115971T. Vorisek2.0061111113
J. Zlamal10
WSep 4 · 21:50J. Zlamal1.801211113T. Vorisek1.9110920WSep 4 · 20:50J. Zlamal1.4461111113F. Strejc2.63116751WSep 4 · 19:20T. Vorisek2.204950J. Zlamal1.611111113LSep 4 · 18:50M. Stusek2.63111175113J. Zlamal1.4496111162LSep 1 · 22:30J. Zlamal1.801361191F. Cernota1.9015116113WSep 1 · 21:25J. Zlamal1.671111113F. Cernota2.106990WSep 1 · 19:55M. Stusek2.503850J. Zlamal1.501111113WAug 26 · 22:00J. Zlamal3.25611611113T. Vorisek1.3311511762LAug 26 · 21:55J. Zlamal1.7358110T. Vorisek2.001111133WAug 26 · 20:25M. Stusek2.389730J. Zlamal1.531111113
Upcoming Matches
T. Vorisek1 of 1 neutral
J. Zlamal
Nothing scheduled
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