TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13023389
Played Aug 26Finished
Jaromir Zlamal
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611115611117116
Tomas Vorisek
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:58 and never touched — 60.3% is still 60.3%
Graded at full timeJaromir Zlamal to win
60.3%
60.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaromir Zlamal above · Tomas Vorisek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 85 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Jaromir Zlamal at 60.3%
85 points played in total.
H2H Jaromir Zlamal 106–56 Tomas Vorisek Tomas Vorisek has won 56 of their 162 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:58What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Vorisek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
106-56 in 162
Zlamal
Correct
gap of 50 in 162, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zlamal 1808 vs Vorisek 1798
Zlamal
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zlamal 60% vs Vorisek 40%
Zlamal
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zlamal 60% vs Vorisek 40%
Zlamal
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zlamal -1 · Vorisek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Vorisek) · live re-read · sealed at 40% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vorisek form (40%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZlamal 3.25 / Vorisek 1.33
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Vorisek)-3.1pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13023389
Zlamal3.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Vorisek1.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 89 of 154
Up 2–0, closes it96% 44 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it84% 68 of 81
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZlamal5wins
AwayVorisek5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZlamal100%3 of 3
AwayVorisek71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zlamal3Vorisek7n = 10Vorisek took 7 of 10
S2Zlamal4Vorisek6n = 10Vorisek took 6 of 10
S3Zlamal7Vorisek3n = 10Zlamal took 7 of 10
S4Zlamal2Vorisek2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricZlamalVorisekZ − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.233.0+0.2per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZlamalVorisekBasisWin rate · lifetime197 / 322 vs 415 / 81061.2%51.2%197 / 322 vs 415 / 810Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorisekZlamal 3.25/Vorisek 1.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.8%
Vorisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zlamal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 21:55J. Zlamal—58110T. Vorisek—1111133
WAug 24 · 22:35J. Zlamal—5111111113T. Vorisek—11132862
WAug 24 · 19:25J. Zlamal—1111133T. Vorisek—95110
LAug 17 · 22:25J. Zlamal—9111101T. Vorisek—11116123
LAug 17 · 19:25J. Zlamal—510100T. Vorisek—1112123
WAug 11 · 22:35J. Zlamal—1111113T. Vorisek—5760
LAug 11 · 19:25J. Zlamal—71070T. Vorisek—1112113
WJul 31 · 21:55J. Zlamal—1111113T. Vorisek—8970
WJul 31 · 20:50J. Zlamal—31111123T. Vorisek—1177101
LJul 28 · 22:25J. Zlamal—9911121T. Vorisek—11118143
J. Zlamal10
WSep 4 · 21:50J. Zlamal1.801211113T. Vorisek1.9110920WSep 4 · 20:50J. Zlamal1.4461111113F. Strejc2.63116751WSep 4 · 19:20T. Vorisek2.204950J. Zlamal1.611111113LSep 4 · 18:50M. Stusek2.63111175113J. Zlamal1.4496111162LSep 1 · 22:30J. Zlamal1.801361191F. Cernota1.9015116113WSep 1 · 21:25J. Zlamal1.671111113F. Cernota2.106990WSep 1 · 19:55M. Stusek2.503850J. Zlamal1.501111113LSep 1 · 19:25T. Vorisek2.001114123J. Zlamal1.73912100LAug 26 · 21:55J. Zlamal1.7358110T. Vorisek2.001111133WAug 26 · 20:25M. Stusek2.389730J. Zlamal1.531111113
T. Vorisek10
LSep 6 · 17:55M. Stusek2.051111113T. Vorisek1.707890WSep 6 · 16:50F. Strejc2.25119771T. Vorisek1.5781111113LSep 6 · 15:50T. Vorisek1.839860M. Stusek1.831111113WSep 6 · 14:20D. Jicha1.838125111T. Vorisek1.83111011133LSep 4 · 21:50J. Zlamal1.801211113T. Vorisek1.9110920WSep 4 · 20:20T. Vorisek1.831112113M. Stusek1.8371070LSep 4 · 19:20T. Vorisek2.204950J. Zlamal1.611111113WSep 4 · 18:20T. Vorisek1.61681113113F. Strejc2.20111111182WSep 1 · 19:25T. Vorisek2.001114123J. Zlamal1.73912100WAug 26 · 21:55J. Zlamal1.7358110T. Vorisek2.001111133
Upcoming Matches
J. Zlamal
Nothing scheduled
T. Vorisek1 of 1 neutral
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.