TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13067315
Played Sep 2Finished
Marek Kulisek
Home
1.55
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11511312147111210
Martin Sulc
Away
2.30
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:18 and never touched — 63.8% is still 63.8%
Graded at full timeMarek Kulisek to win
63.8%
63.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Kulisek above · Martin Sulc below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 96 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Marek Kulisek at 63.8%
96 points played in total.
H2H Marek Kulisek 29–22 Martin Sulc Martin Sulc has won 22 of their 51 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:18What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.55 (60%)
Kulisek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-22 in 51
Kulisek
Correct
gap of 7 in 51, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kulisek 1637 vs Sulc 1472
Kulisek
Correct
both rated, 165 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kulisek 40% vs Sulc 0%
Kulisek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kulisek 50% vs Sulc 20%
Kulisek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kulisek -2 · Sulc -5
Sulc
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kulisek) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulc form (0%) is below what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKulisek 1.55 / Sulc 2.30
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Kulisek)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13067315
Kulisek1.55
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 62 of 121
Up 2–0, closes it92% 33 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it70% 45 of 64
Sulc2.30
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog42% won 74 of 177
Down 0–1, comes back30% 28 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKulisek5wins
AwaySulc5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKulisek57.1%4 of 7
AwaySulc66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kulisek7Sulc3n = 10Kulisek took 7 of 10
S2Kulisek6Sulc4n = 10Kulisek took 6 of 10
S3Kulisek6Sulc4n = 10Kulisek took 6 of 10
S4Kulisek2Sulc5n = 7Sulc took 5 of 7
S5Kulisek2Sulc3n = 5Sulc took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKulisekSulcK − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.839.2+1.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKulisekSulcBasisWin rate · lifetime380 / 855 vs 338 / 65044.4%52%380 / 855 vs 338 / 650Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KulisekKulisek 1.55/Sulc 2.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.9%
Kulisek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kulisek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 19:55M. Kulisek—11951192M. Sulc—911118113
LAug 19 · 17:28M. Kulisek—811111182M. Sulc—111379113
WAug 19 · 16:20M. Kulisek—1111113M. Sulc—6890
LJul 31 · 15:20M. Kulisek—611371M. Sulc—11611113
WJun 28 · 20:20M. Kulisek—11111110163M. Sulc—881312142
LJun 28 · 10:00M. Kulisek—116961M. Sulc—71111113
LJun 28 · 06:50M. Kulisek—1191110102M. Sulc—711912123
WJun 27 · 22:35M. Kulisek—1211113M. Sulc—10380
WJun 27 · 20:55M. Kulisek—1111113M. Sulc—9430
WJun 26 · 21:50M. Kulisek—811114113M. Sulc—11781192
M. Kulisek10
LSep 6 · 21:48D. Hyza1.3611114113M. Kulisek3.00861191LSep 6 · 20:50M. Kulisek2.7577110D. Hyza1.401111133WSep 6 · 19:20M. Sulc2.0081370M. Kulisek1.731115113WSep 6 · 18:50J. Vonasek2.10410110M. Kulisek1.671112133WSep 5 · 22:35M. Brozek1.751212881M. Kulisek1.95141011113WSep 5 · 21:25M. Kulisek2.0017101111113M. Brozek1.7319126672WSep 5 · 19:55A. Rek1.83119781M. Kulisek1.8381111113LSep 5 · 19:25O. Fiklik2.00971211113M. Kulisek1.73111110672WSep 3 · 22:03M. Kulisek1.9191111133M. Cerny1.801194111WSep 3 · 20:55M. Cerny1.61614851M. Kulisek2.20111211113
M. Sulc10
LSep 6 · 21:18M. Sulc2.381291181J. Vonasek1.5314118113WSep 6 · 20:20M. Sulc3.2511614113J. Vonasek1.337111271LSep 6 · 19:20M. Sulc2.0081370M. Kulisek1.731115113LSep 6 · 18:20M. Sulc2.5051181192D. Hyza1.50119118113LSep 2 · 20:20O. Fiklik1.671211113M. Sulc2.1010780LSep 2 · 19:50M. Brozek1.4012118113M. Sulc2.751061191LSep 2 · 18:50M. Sulc2.20125571M. Kulisek1.61101111113LAug 31 · 13:23V. Jr1.7371111113M. Sulc2.00117641LAug 31 · 12:20V. Jr2.101113113M. Sulc1.6781160LAug 31 · 11:50J. Vonasek1.401111113M. Sulc2.758350
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