TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13091371
Played Sep 7Finished
Adam Martin Rek
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1131191412––––
Miroslav Sochor
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:57 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeAdam Martin Rek to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Martin Rek above · Miroslav Sochor below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 14-12
Point 60 set 3, 14-12 — our read held Adam Martin Rek at 65.3%
60 points played in total.
H2H Adam Martin Rek 23–21 Miroslav Sochor Miroslav Sochor has won 21 of their 44 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:57What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Rek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-21 in 44
Rek
Correct
gap of 2 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rek 1621 vs Sochor 1546
Rek
Correct
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rek 20% vs Sochor 40%
Sochor
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rek 20% vs Sochor 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rek -2 · Sochor -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Rek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rek form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRek 1.44 / Sochor 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Rek)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13091371
Rek1.44
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 104 of 182
Up 2–0, closes it89% 46 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it69% 73 of 106
Sochor2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 34 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back33% 17 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRek7wins
AwaySochor3wins
Rek leads 7–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRek66.7%6 of 9
AwaySochorn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rek9Sochor1n = 10Rek took 9 of 10
S2Rek7Sochor3n = 10Rek took 7 of 10
S3Rek5Sochor5n = 10split evenly
S4Rek3Sochor3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRekSochorR − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match36.628.2+8.4per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRekSochorBasisWin rate · lifetime314 / 545 vs 265 / 51157.6%51.9%314 / 545 vs 265 / 511Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RekRek 1.44/Sochor 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Rek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Rek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 3 · 11:50A. Rek—1111113M. Sochor—6360
WMay 1 · 13:30A. Rek—1411123M. Sochor—126100
WMay 1 · 11:20A. Rek—11118113M. Sochor—671121
WApr 26 · 11:25A. Rek—1111113M. Sochor—5720
WApr 23 · 17:25A. Rek—111110113M. Sochor—951251
WApr 13 · 17:25A. Rek—1111113M. Sochor—4260
LApr 10 · 18:20A. Rek—1199111M. Sochor—81111133
LApr 10 · 15:20A. Rek—1165101M. Sochor—71111123
WApr 3 · 13:50A. Rek—71111113M. Sochor—116731
LApr 3 · 12:20A. Rek—146771M. Sochor—121111113
A. Rek10
LSep 7 · 17:24A. Rek1.538790M. Sochor2.381111113LSep 7 · 15:20A. Rek1.537314101M. Sulc2.38111112123LSep 7 · 14:20A. Rek1.67511591D. Hyza2.1011711113WSep 5 · 22:03O. Fiklik2.2510890A. Rek1.571211113LSep 5 · 20:55A. Rek1.61811861O. Fiklik2.2011411113LSep 5 · 19:55A. Rek1.83119781M. Kulisek1.8381111113LSep 5 · 18:55A. Rek2.50861161M. Brozek1.5011116113WSep 4 · 09:59J. Vonasek2.20111951A. Rek1.6191111113LSep 4 · 09:25A. Rek2.50611631J. Benak1.5011811113LSep 4 · 07:55J. Vonasek2.38781211113A. Rek1.53111110842
M. Sochor10
WSep 7 · 17:24A. Rek1.538790M. Sochor2.381111113LSep 7 · 15:50D. Hyza1.281111113M. Sochor3.508590LSep 7 · 14:50M. Sochor1.836880M. Sulc1.831111113WSep 3 · 17:53M. Sochor1.571111123M. Beran2.2555100LSep 3 · 17:25M. Sochor2.2551070J. Hrncir1.571112113WSep 3 · 15:55M. Beran1.911193111M. Sochor1.8091111133LSep 3 · 15:25P. Moravec1.50111187113M. Sochor2.5065111192LAug 28 · 18:25M. Sulc1.85101211113M. Sochor1.851210731LAug 28 · 16:20J. Hendrych1.9110111614113M. Sochor1.80126141692WAug 28 · 15:50A. Langer1.6111891392M. Sochor2.208111111113
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