TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13071382
Played Sep 3Finished
Miroslav Sochor
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5111012711––––
Jan Hrncir
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:42 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeJan Hrncir to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslav Sochor above · Jan Hrncir below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 56 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Jan Hrncir at 55.3%
56 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Sochor 5–7 Jan Hrncir Miroslav Sochor has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:42What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Hrncir
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-7 in 12
Hrncir
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sochor 1568 vs Hrncir 1473
Sochor
Wrong
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sochor 40% vs Hrncir 80%
Hrncir
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sochor 40% vs Hrncir 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sochor +1 · Hrncir +4
Hrncir
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Hrncir) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrncir form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSochor 2.25 / Hrncir 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Hrncir)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13071382
Sochor2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 36 of 85
Down 0–1, comes back34% 18 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 30
Hrncir1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite48% won 21 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it69% 18 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSochor3wins
AwayHrncir7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHrncir leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSochor50%2 of 4
AwayHrncir83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sochor4Hrncir6n = 10Hrncir took 6 of 10
S2Sochor6Hrncir4n = 10Sochor took 6 of 10
S3Sochor2Hrncir8n = 10Hrncir took 8 of 10
S4Sochor1Hrncir6n = 7Hrncir took 6 of 7
S5Sochor2Hrncir1n = 3Sochor took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSochorHrncirS − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.039.9−5.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSochorHrncirBasisWin rate · lifetime266 / 511 vs 106 / 19752.1%53.8%266 / 511 vs 106 / 197Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.939.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrncirSochor 2.25/Hrncir 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Hrncir · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hrncir won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WApr 30 · 15:55M. Sochor—1111113J. Hrncir—5870
LMar 6 · 19:05M. Sochor—117491J. Hrncir—81111113
LMar 6 · 18:25M. Sochor—511681J. Hrncir—11711113
WFeb 20 · 15:50M. Sochor—121154113J. Hrncir—105111152
LFeb 13 · 16:50M. Sochor—14116462J. Hrncir—1291111113
LJan 23 · 16:50M. Sochor—71070J. Hrncir—1112113
LJan 15 · 16:50M. Sochor—8101171J. Hrncir—11128113
LAug 31 · 18:15M. Sochor—72140J. Hrncir—1111163
LAug 31 · 15:10M. Sochor—616841J. Hrncir—111411113
WAug 4 · 18:45M. Sochor—911311113J. Hrncir—11511682
M. Sochor10
WSep 3 · 17:53M. Sochor1.571111123M. Beran2.2555100WSep 3 · 15:55M. Beran1.911193111M. Sochor1.8091111133LSep 3 · 15:25P. Moravec1.50111187113M. Sochor2.5065111192LAug 28 · 18:25M. Sulc1.85101211113M. Sochor1.851210731LAug 28 · 16:20J. Hendrych1.9110111614113M. Sochor1.80126141692WAug 28 · 15:50A. Langer1.6111891392M. Sochor2.208111111113LAug 28 · 14:50M. Sochor1.80121111552M. Sulc1.80146611113WAug 24 · 18:08J. Volek1.831111107102M. Sochor1.83691211123WAug 24 · 17:25M. Sochor2.00113911113M. Sulc1.7371111252LAug 24 · 15:55J. Volek1.91117911113M. Sochor1.8091111682
J. Hrncir10
LSep 3 · 18:23J. Hrncir1.9011691372P. Moravec1.806111111113WSep 3 · 16:25J. Hrncir1.911011118163P. Moravec1.80126511142WSep 3 · 14:55M. Beran2.00101181142J. Hrncir1.73129114113WAug 17 · 17:30D. Tichy1.731011571J. Hrncir2.0012811113WAug 17 · 16:50J. Hrncir1.501191111113Z. Zahradka2.5061113842LAug 17 · 15:20M. Dvorak2.101211113J. Hrncir1.6710970LAug 17 · 14:50D. Tichy1.8391211113J. Hrncir1.831110381WAug 12 · 22:00J. Hendrych2.20961161J. Hrncir1.6111119113LAug 12 · 21:25J. Hrncir2.10113661O. Varecka1.6791111113LAug 12 · 19:55D. Sykora1.80411117113J. Hrncir1.9111861182
Upcoming Matches
M. Sochor
J. Hrncir
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.