TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13036423
Played Aug 28Finished
Miroslav Sochor
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1214116116511511
Martin Sulc
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Sulc to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslav Sochor above · Martin Sulc below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 92 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Martin Sulc at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Sochor 53–43 Martin Sulc Martin Sulc has won 43 of their 96 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:29What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (50%)
Sulc
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
53-43 in 96
Sochor
Wrong
gap of 10 in 96, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sochor 1569 vs Sulc 1583
Sulc
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sochor 60% vs Sulc 80%
Sulc
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sochor 70% vs Sulc 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sochor +2 · Sulc +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sulc)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sulc form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSochor 1.80 / Sulc 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sulc)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13036423
Sochor1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Sulc1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSochor2wins
AwaySulc8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSulc leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSochor40%2 of 5
AwaySulc100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sochor5Sulc5n = 10split evenly
S2Sochor4Sulc6n = 10Sulc took 6 of 10
S3Sochor3Sulc7n = 10Sulc took 7 of 10
S4Sochor3Sulc4n = 7Sulc took 4 of 7
S5Sochor1Sulc4n = 5Sulc took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSochorSulcSochor − SulcBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.540.0−6.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSochorSulcBasisWin rate · lifetime269 / 517 vs 334 / 63952%52.3%269 / 517 vs 334 / 639Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulcSochor 1.80/Sulc 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sulc · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sulc won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 14:50M. Sochor—121111552M. Sulc—146611113
WAug 24 · 17:25M. Sochor—113911113M. Sulc—71111252
LAug 9 · 11:25M. Sochor—1167111M. Sulc—71111133
LJul 26 · 06:55M. Sochor—115371M. Sulc—91111113
LJun 20 · 18:30M. Sochor—2350M. Sulc—1111113
LJun 20 · 14:55M. Sochor—51112782M. Sulc—1181011113
LJun 3 · 15:25M. Sochor—5740M. Sulc—1111113
LMay 3 · 12:50M. Sochor—71151292M. Sulc—1181110113
LMay 1 · 10:50M. Sochor—11781122M. Sulc—711116113
WApr 30 · 17:25M. Sochor—1111113M. Sulc—8640
M. Sochor10
WSep 3 · 17:53M. Sochor1.571111123M. Beran2.2555100LSep 3 · 17:25M. Sochor2.2551070J. Hrncir1.571112113WSep 3 · 15:55M. Beran1.911193111M. Sochor1.8091111133LSep 3 · 15:25P. Moravec1.50111187113M. Sochor2.5065111192LAug 28 · 18:25M. Sulc1.85101211113M. Sochor1.851210731LAug 28 · 16:20J. Hendrych1.9110111614113M. Sochor1.80126141692WAug 28 · 15:50A. Langer1.6111891392M. Sochor2.208111111113WAug 24 · 18:08J. Volek1.831111107102M. Sochor1.83691211123WAug 24 · 17:25M. Sochor2.00113911113M. Sulc1.7371111252LAug 24 · 15:55J. Volek1.91117911113M. Sochor1.8091111682
M. Sulc10
LSep 6 · 21:18M. Sulc2.381291181J. Vonasek1.5314118113WSep 6 · 20:20M. Sulc3.2511614113J. Vonasek1.337111271LSep 6 · 19:20M. Sulc2.0081370M. Kulisek1.731115113LSep 6 · 18:20M. Sulc2.5051181192D. Hyza1.50119118113LSep 2 · 21:20M. Kulisek1.551111127123M. Sulc2.30531411102LSep 2 · 20:20O. Fiklik1.671211113M. Sulc2.1010780LSep 2 · 19:50M. Brozek1.4012118113M. Sulc2.751061191LSep 2 · 18:50M. Sulc2.20125571M. Kulisek1.61101111113WAug 28 · 18:25M. Sulc1.85101211113M. Sochor1.851210731LAug 24 · 17:25M. Sochor2.00113911113M. Sulc1.7371111252
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