TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13071333
Played Sep 3Finished
Matej Beran
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1199113111113––
Miroslav Sochor
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:28 and never touched — 55.5% is still 55.5%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Sochor to win
55.5%
55.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingMatej Beran above · Miroslav Sochor below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 78 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Miroslav Sochor at 55.5%
78 points played in total.
H2H Matej Beran 3–6 Miroslav Sochor Matej Beran has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:28What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sochor
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-6 in 9
Sochor
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Beran 1505 vs Sochor 1569
Sochor
Correct
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Beran 20% vs Sochor 40%
Sochor
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Beran 30% vs Sochor 50%
Sochor
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Beran -3 · Sochor -2
Beran
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Sochor)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sochor form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBeran 1.91 / Sochor 1.80
Signal prob.45% / 56%
Edge (Sochor)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13071333
Beran1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog54% won 13 of 24
Down 0–1, comes back25% 3 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back13% 1 of 8
Sochor1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 45 of 85
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it67% 33 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeBeran3wins
AwaySochor6wins
4 of 9 to a deciderSochor leads 6–3, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBeran40%2 of 5
AwaySochor75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Beran5Sochor4n = 9Beran took 5 of 9
S2Beran5Sochor4n = 9Beran took 5 of 9
S3Beran4Sochor5n = 9Sochor took 5 of 9
S4Beran2Sochor4n = 6Sochor took 4 of 6
S5Beran1Sochor3n = 4Sochor took 3 of 4
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away333%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricBeranSochorB − SBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match37.637.9−0.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBeranSochorBasisWin rate · lifetime70 / 153 vs 265 / 50945.8%52.1%70 / 153 vs 265 / 509Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.836.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SochorBeran 1.91/Sochor 1.80
Hit
What we said
55.5%
Sochor · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sochor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WJul 6 · 14:50M. Beran—1116113M. Sochor—51460
LJun 20 · 15:55M. Beran—7750M. Sochor—1111113
WApr 7 · 18:25M. Beran—413112133M. Sochor—1111711112
LApr 7 · 15:55M. Beran—831171M. Sochor—11115113
LJan 13 · 17:50M. Beran—811661M. Sochor—11711113
LJan 8 · 17:25M. Beran—11117782M. Sochor—561111113
LNov 11 · 19:10M. Beran—111191192M. Sochor—413118113
LNov 11 · 16:25M. Beran—119711122M. Sochor—511116133
WAug 17 · 11:25M. Beran—1111113M. Sochor—8630
M. Beran10
LSep 3 · 17:53M. Sochor1.571111123M. Beran2.2555100LSep 3 · 16:55M. Beran1.73811931P. Moravec2.0011611113LSep 3 · 14:55M. Beran2.00101181142J. Hrncir1.73129114113LSep 1 · 01:50P. Moravec2.501112113M. Beran1.5061080LAug 31 · 17:18M. Beran1.67711511102D. Tichy2.10117116123WAug 31 · 15:50M. Beran1.61111111113D. Tichy2.20551341LAug 31 · 14:20J. Cerny2.6371111113M. Beran1.44118521WAug 27 · 21:53M. Beran1.7211115113O. Fiklik2.00881181WAug 27 · 20:55M. Beran1.8391111113O. Fiklik1.83116861LAug 27 · 19:55M. Beran3.251291011112M. Brozek1.331011128133
M. Sochor10
WSep 3 · 17:53M. Sochor1.571111123M. Beran2.2555100LSep 3 · 17:25M. Sochor2.2551070J. Hrncir1.571112113LSep 3 · 15:25P. Moravec1.50111187113M. Sochor2.5065111192LAug 28 · 18:25M. Sulc1.85101211113M. Sochor1.851210731LAug 28 · 16:20J. Hendrych1.9110111614113M. Sochor1.80126141692WAug 28 · 15:50A. Langer1.6111891392M. Sochor2.208111111113LAug 28 · 14:50M. Sochor1.80121111552M. Sulc1.80146611113WAug 24 · 18:08J. Volek1.831111107102M. Sochor1.83691211123WAug 24 · 17:25M. Sochor2.00113911113M. Sulc1.7371111252LAug 24 · 15:55J. Volek1.91117911113M. Sochor1.8091111682
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