TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13002134
Played Aug 24Finished
Jiri Volek
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119711911116118
Miroslav Sochor
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:11 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Sochor to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJiri Volek above · Miroslav Sochor below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 94 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Miroslav Sochor at 57.7%
94 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Volek 3–6 Miroslav Sochor Jiri Volek has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:11What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sochor
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-6 in 9
Sochor
Wrong
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volek 1529 vs Sochor 1619
Sochor
Wrong
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volek 80% vs Sochor 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volek 60% vs Sochor 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Volek -1 · Sochor -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Sochor) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sochor form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolek 1.91 / Sochor 1.80
Signal prob.45% / 56%
Edge (Sochor)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13002134
Volek1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Sochor1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 51 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it69% 38 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeVolek3wins
AwaySochor6wins
2 of 9 to a deciderSochor leads 6–3, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolek100%3 of 3
AwaySochor100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volek3Sochor6n = 9Sochor took 6 of 9
S2Volek4Sochor5n = 9Sochor took 5 of 9
S3Volek3Sochor6n = 9Sochor took 6 of 9
S4Volek3Sochor3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricVolekSochorV − SBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match34.738.6−3.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolekSochorBasisWin rate · lifetime39 / 83 vs 267 / 51247%52.2%39 / 83 vs 267 / 512Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SochorVolek 1.91/Sochor 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.5%
Sochor · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Volek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 24 · 15:55J. Volek—117911113M. Sochor—91111682
WAug 18 · 15:25J. Volek—15611113M. Sochor—1311391
LJan 20 · 16:55J. Volek—661191M. Sochor—11118113
LJan 3 · 11:30J. Volek—611841M. Sochor—11611113
LJan 3 · 07:55J. Volek—13780M. Sochor—1511113
LOct 21 · 18:40J. Volek—81151152M. Sochor—118118113
LOct 21 · 15:25J. Volek—1211681M. Sochor—14711113
LJul 14 · 15:25J. Volek—71040M. Sochor—1112113
WJan 23 · 16:25J. Volek—1111113M. Sochor—5990
J. Volek10
LAug 24 · 18:08J. Volek1.831111107102M. Sochor1.83691211123LAug 24 · 16:55J. Volek2.258470P. Moravec1.571111113LAug 24 · 14:55J. Volek2.3871112962M. Sulc1.531161011113WAug 18 · 18:35J. Volek1.50116211123M. Dvorak2.50711117102WAug 18 · 16:55J. Cerny2.00911431J. Volek1.7311911113WAug 18 · 16:25M. Dvorak2.2512770J. Volek1.571411113WAug 18 · 15:25J. Volek2.0015611113M. Sochor1.731311391LAug 11 · 18:30P. Moravec1.731111113J. Volek2.009930LAug 11 · 16:55J. Volek1.8010640P. Moravec1.911211113WAug 11 · 15:55J. Volek1.73116811113J. Hendrych2.0071111572
M. Sochor10
WSep 3 · 17:53M. Sochor1.571111123M. Beran2.2555100LSep 3 · 17:25M. Sochor2.2551070J. Hrncir1.571112113WSep 3 · 15:55M. Beran1.911193111M. Sochor1.8091111133LSep 3 · 15:25P. Moravec1.50111187113M. Sochor2.5065111192LAug 28 · 18:25M. Sulc1.85101211113M. Sochor1.851210731LAug 28 · 16:20J. Hendrych1.9110111614113M. Sochor1.80126141692WAug 28 · 15:50A. Langer1.6111891392M. Sochor2.208111111113LAug 28 · 14:50M. Sochor1.80121111552M. Sulc1.80146611113WAug 24 · 18:08J. Volek1.831111107102M. Sochor1.83691211123LAug 18 · 15:25J. Volek2.0015611113M. Sochor1.731311391
Upcoming Matches
J. Volek
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M. Sochor
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