TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13001263
Played Aug 24Finished
Jiri Volek
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111161210911611
Martin Sulc
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:39 and never touched — 63.8% is still 63.8%
Graded at full timeMartin Sulc to win
63.8%
63.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Volek above · Martin Sulc below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 94 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Martin Sulc at 63.8%
94 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Volek 1–4 Martin Sulc Jiri Volek has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:39What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Sulc
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Sulc
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volek 1551 vs Sulc 1560
Sulc
Correct
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volek 80% vs Sulc 60%
Volek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volek 70% vs Sulc 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Volek +4 · Sulc +1
Volek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Sulc)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolek 2.38 / Sulc 1.53
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Sulc)+3.0pp
TT Cup · #13001263
Volek2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Sulc1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 63 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it97% 30 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it72% 42 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeVolek1wins
AwaySulc4wins
Sulc leads 4–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySulc100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volek2Sulc3n = 5Sulc took 3 of 5
S2Volek2Sulc3n = 5Sulc took 3 of 5
S3Volek2Sulc3n = 5Sulc took 3 of 5
S4Volek0Sulc3n = 3Sulc took 3 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away360%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricVolekSulcV − SBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match27.234.4−7.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolekSulcBasisWin rate · lifetime38 / 80 vs 329 / 63147.5%52.1%38 / 80 vs 329 / 631Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulcVolek 2.38/Sulc 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.8%
Sulc · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sulc won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LFeb 6 · 16:55J. Volek—6720M. Sulc—1111103
LJan 28 · 21:25J. Volek—751261M. Sulc—111110113
WJan 3 · 09:55J. Volek—1411113M. Sulc—12650
LOct 2 · 21:55J. Volek—114951M. Sulc—61111113
LOct 2 · 20:55J. Volek—611631M. Sulc—11211113
J. Volek10
LAug 24 · 18:08J. Volek1.831111107102M. Sochor1.83691211123LAug 24 · 16:55J. Volek2.258470P. Moravec1.571111113WAug 24 · 15:55J. Volek1.91117911113M. Sochor1.8091111682WAug 18 · 18:35J. Volek1.50116211123M. Dvorak2.50711117102WAug 18 · 16:55J. Cerny2.00911431J. Volek1.7311911113WAug 18 · 16:25M. Dvorak2.2512770J. Volek1.571411113WAug 18 · 15:25J. Volek2.0015611113M. Sochor1.731311391LAug 11 · 18:30P. Moravec1.731111113J. Volek2.009930LAug 11 · 16:55J. Volek1.8010640P. Moravec1.911211113WAug 11 · 15:55J. Volek1.73116811113J. Hendrych2.0071111572
M. Sulc10
LSep 6 · 21:18M. Sulc2.381291181J. Vonasek1.5314118113WSep 6 · 20:20M. Sulc3.2511614113J. Vonasek1.337111271LSep 6 · 19:20M. Sulc2.0081370M. Kulisek1.731115113LSep 6 · 18:20M. Sulc2.5051181192D. Hyza1.50119118113LSep 2 · 21:20M. Kulisek1.551111127123M. Sulc2.30531411102LSep 2 · 20:20O. Fiklik1.671211113M. Sulc2.1010780LSep 2 · 19:50M. Brozek1.4012118113M. Sulc2.751061191LSep 2 · 18:50M. Sulc2.20125571M. Kulisek1.61101111113LAug 31 · 13:23V. Jr1.7371111113M. Sulc2.00117641LAug 31 · 12:20V. Jr2.101113113M. Sulc1.6781160
Upcoming Matches
J. Volek
Nothing scheduled
M. Sulc
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