TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12455482
Played Aug 18Finished
Jiri Volek
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1513611113119––
Miroslav Sochor
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:32 and never touched — 70.3% is still 70.3%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Sochor to win
70.3%
70.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJiri Volek above · Miroslav Sochor below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 79 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Miroslav Sochor at 70.3%
79 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Volek 1–6 Miroslav Sochor Jiri Volek has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:32What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sochor
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-6 in 7
Sochor
Wrong
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Volek 1503 vs Sochor 1596
Sochor
Wrong
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Volek 40% vs Sochor 80%
Sochor
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Volek 60% vs Sochor 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Volek -2 · Sochor +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Sochor) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sochor form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolek 2.00 / Sochor 1.73
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Sochor)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #12455482
Volek2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Sochor1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 52 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it90% 26 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it68% 40 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeVolek1wins
AwaySochor6wins
1 of 7 to a deciderSochor leads 6–1, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySochor100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volek1Sochor6n = 7Sochor took 6 of 7
S2Volek4Sochor3n = 7Volek took 4 of 7
S3Volek2Sochor5n = 7Sochor took 5 of 7
S4Volek1Sochor3n = 4Sochor took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away343%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricVolekSochorV − SBasisWins16−5in 7 meetingsFirst set16−5of 7Avg pointsper match31.438.0−6.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolekSochorBasisWin rate · lifetime60 / 135 vs 271 / 51744.4%52.4%60 / 135 vs 271 / 517Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SochorVolek 2.00/Sochor 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Sochor · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Volek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LJan 20 · 16:55J. Volek—661191M. Sochor—11118113
LJan 3 · 11:30J. Volek—611841M. Sochor—11611113
LJan 3 · 07:55J. Volek—13780M. Sochor—1511113
LOct 21 · 18:40J. Volek—81151152M. Sochor—118118113
LOct 21 · 15:25J. Volek—1211681M. Sochor—14711113
LJul 14 · 15:25J. Volek—71040M. Sochor—1112113
WJan 23 · 16:25J. Volek—1111113M. Sochor—5990
J. Volek10
LAug 24 · 18:08J. Volek1.831111107102M. Sochor1.83691211123LAug 24 · 16:55J. Volek2.258470P. Moravec1.571111113WAug 24 · 15:55J. Volek1.91117911113M. Sochor1.8091111682LAug 24 · 14:55J. Volek2.3871112962M. Sulc1.531161011113WAug 18 · 18:35J. Volek1.50116211123M. Dvorak2.50711117102WAug 18 · 16:55J. Cerny2.00911431J. Volek1.7311911113WAug 18 · 16:25M. Dvorak2.2512770J. Volek1.571411113LAug 11 · 18:30P. Moravec1.731111113J. Volek2.009930LAug 11 · 16:55J. Volek1.8010640P. Moravec1.911211113WAug 11 · 15:55J. Volek1.73116811113J. Hendrych2.0071111572
M. Sochor10
WSep 3 · 17:53M. Sochor1.571111123M. Beran2.2555100LSep 3 · 17:25M. Sochor2.2551070J. Hrncir1.571112113WSep 3 · 15:55M. Beran1.911193111M. Sochor1.8091111133LSep 3 · 15:25P. Moravec1.50111187113M. Sochor2.5065111192LAug 28 · 18:25M. Sulc1.85101211113M. Sochor1.851210731LAug 28 · 16:20J. Hendrych1.9110111614113M. Sochor1.80126141692WAug 28 · 15:50A. Langer1.6111891392M. Sochor2.208111111113LAug 28 · 14:50M. Sochor1.80121111552M. Sulc1.80146611113WAug 24 · 18:08J. Volek1.831111107102M. Sochor1.83691211123LAug 24 · 15:55J. Volek1.91117911113M. Sochor1.8091111682
Upcoming Matches
J. Volek
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M. Sochor
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