TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12406500
Played Aug 11Finished
Petr Moravec
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119119113––––
Jiri Volek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingPetr Moravec above · Jiri Volek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 54 set 3, 11-3
54 points played in total.
H2H Petr Moravec 4–3 Jiri Volek Jiri Volek has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Moravec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moravec form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 1.73 / Volek 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Moravec)+1.0pp
TT Cup · #12406500
Moravec1.73
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 31 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it75% 21 of 28
Volek2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMoravec4wins
AwayVolek3wins
2 of 7 to a deciderMoravec leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoravec66.7%2 of 3
AwayVolek50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moravec3Volek4n = 7Volek took 4 of 7
S2Moravec4Volek3n = 7Moravec took 4 of 7
S3Moravec3Volek4n = 7Volek took 4 of 7
S4Moravec2Volek2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricMoravecVolekM − VBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match40.038.1+1.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecVolekBasisWin rate · lifetime92 / 181 vs 60 / 13550.8%44.4%92 / 181 vs 60 / 135Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoravecMoravec 1.73/Volek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.7%
Moravec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Moravec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 11 · 16:55P. Moravec—1211113J. Volek—10640
WMar 20 · 19:38P. Moravec—1111113J. Volek—5910
WMar 20 · 16:25P. Moravec—1071217113J. Volek—1211101572
LFeb 6 · 18:55P. Moravec—118871J. Volek—61111103
LFeb 6 · 17:55P. Moravec—89150J. Volek—1111173
WJan 28 · 20:25P. Moravec—10131212113J. Volek—1211141082
LNov 12 · 16:25P. Moravec—2114151J. Volek—11611173
P. Moravec10
WSep 3 · 18:23J. Hrncir1.9011691372P. Moravec1.806111111113WSep 3 · 16:55M. Beran1.73811931P. Moravec2.0011611113LSep 3 · 16:25J. Hrncir1.911011118163P. Moravec1.80126511142WSep 3 · 15:25P. Moravec1.50111187113M. Sochor2.5065111192WSep 1 · 01:50P. Moravec2.501112113M. Beran1.5061080LSep 1 · 24:20J. Cerny2.0014119113P. Moravec1.731251151LAug 31 · 17:49J. Cerny2.001111113P. Moravec1.738590WAug 31 · 14:50D. Tichy2.0091171162P. Moravec1.73116118113LAug 24 · 18:39M. Sulc1.441111108113P. Moravec2.6367121152WAug 24 · 16:55J. Volek2.258470P. Moravec1.571111113
J. Volek10
LAug 24 · 18:08J. Volek1.831111107102M. Sochor1.83691211123LAug 24 · 16:55J. Volek2.258470P. Moravec1.571111113WAug 24 · 15:55J. Volek1.91117911113M. Sochor1.8091111682LAug 24 · 14:55J. Volek2.3871112962M. Sulc1.531161011113WAug 18 · 18:35J. Volek1.50116211123M. Dvorak2.50711117102WAug 18 · 16:55J. Cerny2.00911431J. Volek1.7311911113WAug 18 · 16:25M. Dvorak2.2512770J. Volek1.571411113WAug 18 · 15:25J. Volek2.0015611113M. Sochor1.731311391LAug 11 · 16:55J. Volek1.8010640P. Moravec1.911211113WAug 11 · 15:55J. Volek1.73116811113J. Hendrych2.0071111572
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