Martin Sulc vs Petr Moravec 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13005530

Played Aug 24Finished

Martin Sulc

Home

1.44

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

1161171012811115

Petr Moravec

Away

2.63

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

How it is goingMartin Sulc above · Petr Moravec below

Set 1 · 11-6

Set 2 · 11-7

Set 3 · 10-12

Set 4 · 8-11

Set 5 · 11-5

Point 92 set 5, 11-5

92 points played in total.

H2H Martin Sulc 17–5 Petr Moravec Petr Moravec has won 5 of their 22 meetings.

Last 10 · 8–2Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Sulc)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Moravec form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSulc 1.44 / Moravec 2.63

Signal prob.66% / 34%

Edge (Sulc)+1.8pp

TT Cup · #13005530

Sulc1.44

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite61% won 63 of 104

Up 2–0, closes it97% 30 of 31

Up 1–0, closes it72% 42 of 58

Moravec2.63

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog52% won 26 of 50

Down 0–1, comes back37% 10 of 27

Down 0–2, comes back18% 3 of 17

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeSulc8wins

AwayMoravec2wins

3 of 10 to a deciderSulc leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSulc85.7%6 of 7

AwayMoravec33.3%1 of 3

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Sulc7Moravec3n = 10Sulc took 7 of 10

S2Sulc6Moravec4n = 10Sulc took 6 of 10

S3Sulc8Moravec2n = 10Sulc took 8 of 10

S4Sulc2Moravec4n = 6Moravec took 4 of 6

S5Sulc3Moravec0n = 3Sulc took 3 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home440%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricSulcMoravecS − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.831.3+7.5per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSulcMoravecBasisWin rate · lifetime330 / 633 vs 99 / 19252.1%51.6%330 / 633 vs 99 / 192Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.5per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Sulc

Sulc 1.44/Moravec 2.63

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

66.3%

Sulc · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Sulc won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WAug 24 · 16:25M. Sulc—1112113P. Moravec—41050

WApr 30 · 16:25M. Sulc—1111113P. Moravec—9850

WApr 23 · 16:55M. Sulc—711118143P. Moravec—112711122

WApr 14 · 15:55M. Sulc—1111113P. Moravec—6690

LMar 24 · 16:25M. Sulc—117661P. Moravec—51111113

WMar 13 · 17:55M. Sulc—1111113P. Moravec—9370

LFeb 27 · 16:25M. Sulc—981391P. Moravec—111111113

WFeb 18 · 16:20M. Sulc—117118113P. Moravec—31161112

WFeb 6 · 16:25M. Sulc—5111111113P. Moravec—11613552

WFeb 5 · 16:20M. Sulc—11411123P. Moravec—9115101

M. Sulc10

LSep 6 · 21:18M. Sulc2.381291181J. Vonasek1.5314118113 WSep 6 · 20:20M. Sulc3.2511614113J. Vonasek1.337111271 LSep 6 · 19:20M. Sulc2.0081370M. Kulisek1.731115113 LSep 6 · 18:20M. Sulc2.5051181192D. Hyza1.50119118113 LSep 2 · 21:20M. Kulisek1.551111127123M. Sulc2.30531411102 LSep 2 · 20:20O. Fiklik1.671211113M. Sulc2.1010780 LSep 2 · 19:50M. Brozek1.4012118113M. Sulc2.751061191 LSep 2 · 18:50M. Sulc2.20125571M. Kulisek1.61101111113 LAug 31 · 13:23V. Jr1.7371111113M. Sulc2.00117641 LAug 31 · 12:20V. Jr2.101113113M. Sulc1.6781160

P. Moravec10

WSep 3 · 18:23J. Hrncir1.9011691372P. Moravec1.806111111113 WSep 3 · 16:55M. Beran1.73811931P. Moravec2.0011611113 LSep 3 · 16:25J. Hrncir1.911011118163P. Moravec1.80126511142 WSep 3 · 15:25P. Moravec1.50111187113M. Sochor2.5065111192 WSep 1 · 01:50P. Moravec2.501112113M. Beran1.5061080 LSep 1 · 24:20J. Cerny2.0014119113P. Moravec1.731251151 LAug 31 · 17:49J. Cerny2.001111113P. Moravec1.738590 WAug 31 · 14:50D. Tichy2.0091171162P. Moravec1.73116118113 WAug 24 · 16:55J. Volek2.258470P. Moravec1.571111113 LAug 24 · 16:25M. Sulc1.441112113P. Moravec2.6341050

Upcoming Matches

M. Sulc

Sep 7 · 14:50M. Sulc—M. Sochor——Sep 7 · 15:20M. Sulc2.38A. Rek1.53—

P. Moravec

Nothing scheduled

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