TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12456690
Played Aug 18Finished
Jiri Volek
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1176112111171210
Milan Dvorak
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJiri Volek above · Milan Dvorak below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 88 set 5, 12-10
88 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Volek 3–1 Milan Dvorak Milan Dvorak has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Volek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dvorak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolek 1.50 / Dvorak 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Volek)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #12456690
Volek1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Dvorak2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 41 of 94
Down 0–1, comes back25% 13 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeVolek3wins
AwayDvorak1wins
2 of 4 to a deciderVolek leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVolekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayDvorak33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Volek1Dvorak3n = 4Dvorak took 3 of 4
S2Volek4Dvorak0n = 4Volek took 4 of 4
S3Volek3Dvorak1n = 4Volek took 3 of 4
S4Volek0Dvorak3n = 3Dvorak took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricVolekDvorakV − DBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match41.038.5+2.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolekDvorakBasisWin rate · lifetime37 / 79 vs 173 / 34646.8%50%37 / 79 vs 173 / 346Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolekVolek 1.50/Dvorak 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Volek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Volek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 18 · 16:25J. Volek—1411113M. Dvorak—12770
WMar 20 · 17:25J. Volek—1211113113M. Dvorak—14561172
WJul 14 · 18:25J. Volek—611118123M. Dvorak—118311102
LJul 14 · 16:25J. Volek—711771M. Dvorak—11911113
J. Volek10
LAug 24 · 18:08J. Volek1.831111107102M. Sochor1.83691211123LAug 24 · 16:55J. Volek2.258470P. Moravec1.571111113WAug 24 · 15:55J. Volek1.91117911113M. Sochor1.8091111682LAug 24 · 14:55J. Volek2.3871112962M. Sulc1.531161011113WAug 18 · 16:55J. Cerny2.00911431J. Volek1.7311911113WAug 18 · 16:25M. Dvorak2.2512770J. Volek1.571411113WAug 18 · 15:25J. Volek2.0015611113M. Sochor1.731311391LAug 11 · 18:30P. Moravec1.731111113J. Volek2.009930LAug 11 · 16:55J. Volek1.8010640P. Moravec1.911211113WAug 11 · 15:55J. Volek1.73116811113J. Hendrych2.0071111572
M. Dvorak10
LSep 4 · 18:32J. Melichar1.871111113M. Dvorak1.839740WSep 4 · 16:55R. Jamrich2.0031080M. Dvorak1.731112113LSep 4 · 16:25J. Melichar1.83612119113M. Dvorak1.83111091142WSep 4 · 15:25M. Dvorak1.9111913113Z. Zahradka1.806111151WAug 31 · 18:00M. Dvorak2.101011911113J. Hendrych1.6712811752WAug 31 · 16:55M. Dvorak2.0011115113J. Hendrych1.73681151LAug 31 · 15:55M. Dvorak1.73118315112J. Dvorak2.009111113133LAug 31 · 14:55M. Dvorak1.577880J. Melichar2.251111113LAug 28 · 18:00J. Kulveit1.83511147113M. Dvorak1.83118121182LAug 18 · 16:25M. Dvorak2.2512770J. Volek1.571411113
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