TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13076565
Played Sep 4Finished
Robert Jamrich
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
3111012811––––
Milan Dvorak
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:00 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMilan Dvorak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRobert Jamrich above · Milan Dvorak below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 55 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Milan Dvorak at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Robert Jamrich 3–5 Milan Dvorak Robert Jamrich has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:00What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Dvorak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Dvorak
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jamrich 1322 vs Dvorak 1484
Dvorak
Correct
both rated, 161 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jamrich 0% vs Dvorak 60%
Dvorak
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jamrich 20% vs Dvorak 40%
Dvorak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jamrich -5 · Dvorak +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Dvorak) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jamrich form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJamrich 2.00 / Dvorak 1.73
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Dvorak)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13076565
Jamrich2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 28 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back22% 8 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Dvorak1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite44% won 30 of 69
Up 2–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it52% 17 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeJamrich3wins
AwayDvorak5wins
5 of 8 to a deciderDvorak leads 5–3, and 5 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJamrich60%3 of 5
AwayDvorak100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jamrich5Dvorak3n = 8Jamrich took 5 of 8
S2Jamrich3Dvorak5n = 8Dvorak took 5 of 8
S3Jamrich3Dvorak5n = 8Dvorak took 5 of 8
S4Jamrich3Dvorak4n = 7Dvorak took 4 of 7
S5Jamrich2Dvorak3n = 5Dvorak took 3 of 5
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away338%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricJamrichDvorakJ − DBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match41.645.0−3.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJamrichDvorakBasisWin rate · lifetime129 / 290 vs 167 / 34344.5%48.7%129 / 290 vs 167 / 343Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DvorakJamrich 2.00/Dvorak 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.9%
Dvorak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Dvorak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WFeb 23 · 19:10R. Jamrich—1111115143M. Dvorak—713811122
WFeb 23 · 15:55R. Jamrich—11911113M. Dvorak—811991
LFeb 3 · 17:55R. Jamrich—910100M. Dvorak—1112123
LJan 9 · 19:45R. Jamrich—51211582M. Dvorak—1110611113
LJan 9 · 15:55R. Jamrich—811101172M. Dvorak—118128113
WNov 14 · 15:20R. Jamrich—116611103M. Dvorak—91111862
LNov 4 · 18:25R. Jamrich—1211111062M. Dvorak—1041312113
LOct 21 · 14:20R. Jamrich—126551M. Dvorak—101111113
R. Jamrich10
WSep 6 · 18:34R. Jamrich1.4412311113J. Dvorak2.631011671WSep 6 · 16:55J. Dvorak1.918870R. Jamrich1.801111113WSep 6 · 16:25Z. Zahradka1.67119881R. Jamrich2.1091111113LSep 6 · 15:25R. Jamrich3.00118751J. Melichar1.3691111113WSep 4 · 18:00Z. Zahradka1.6111911592R. Jamrich2.20711811113LSep 4 · 15:55R. Jamrich2.1054111172Z. Zahradka1.67111196113LSep 4 · 14:55R. Jamrich2.75128751J. Melichar1.40101111113LSep 1 · 17:25F. Balcar1.571111113R. Jamrich2.258770LSep 1 · 16:50R. Jamrich2.63461191L. Moravec1.4411116113LSep 1 · 15:20F. Balcar1.5771111113R. Jamrich2.25119781
M. Dvorak10
LSep 4 · 18:32J. Melichar1.871111113M. Dvorak1.839740LSep 4 · 16:25J. Melichar1.83612119113M. Dvorak1.83111091142WSep 4 · 15:25M. Dvorak1.9111913113Z. Zahradka1.806111151WAug 31 · 18:00M. Dvorak2.101011911113J. Hendrych1.6712811752WAug 31 · 16:55M. Dvorak2.0011115113J. Hendrych1.73681151LAug 31 · 15:55M. Dvorak1.73118315112J. Dvorak2.009111113133LAug 31 · 14:55M. Dvorak1.577880J. Melichar2.251111113LAug 28 · 18:00J. Kulveit1.83511147113M. Dvorak1.83118121182WAug 28 · 17:25J. Dvorak2.001111771M. Dvorak1.7371311113LAug 28 · 16:25M. Dvorak1.806880D. Tichy1.911111113
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