TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13059999
Played Sep 1Finished
Frantisek Balcar
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118117117––––
Robert Jamrich
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:23 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Balcar to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFrantisek Balcar above · Robert Jamrich below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 55 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Frantisek Balcar at 58.9%
55 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Balcar 2–0 Robert Jamrich Robert Jamrich has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:23What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Balcar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Balcar 1505 vs Jamrich 1356
Balcar
Correct
both rated, 150 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Balcar 60% vs Jamrich 20%
Balcar
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Balcar 70% vs Jamrich 40%
Balcar
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Balcar -2 · Jamrich -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Balcar)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jamrich form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBalcar 1.57 / Jamrich 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Balcar)-0.0pp
TT Cup · #13059999
Balcar1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite48% won 27 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it63% 15 of 24
Jamrich2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 28 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back22% 8 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBalcar2wins
AwayJamrich0wins
Balcar leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricBalcarJamrichB − JBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match36.526.5+10.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBalcarJamrichBasisWin rate · lifetime106 / 226 vs 130 / 29146.9%44.7%106 / 226 vs 130 / 291Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BalcarBalcar 1.57/Jamrich 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Balcar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Balcar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 1 · 15:20F. Balcar—71111113R. Jamrich—119781
WJul 22 · 12:55F. Balcar—1111113R. Jamrich—5580
F. Balcar10
LSep 7 · 08:25F. Balcar1.579750D. Pasek2.251111113WSep 7 · 06:55R. Muller1.918121111142F. Balcar1.801110139163WSep 4 · 14:35F. Balcar2.25511117113A. Kral1.5711961152LSep 4 · 13:25F. Balcar2.50210111172A. Kral1.50111294113WSep 4 · 11:55P. Chlumsky1.8391070F. Balcar1.831112113WSep 4 · 11:25M. Filipek1.8041161372F. Balcar1.911161111113LSep 1 · 16:20F. Balcar2.50811981A. Kral1.5011811113WSep 1 · 15:20F. Balcar1.5771111113R. Jamrich2.25119781LSep 1 · 14:20F. Balcar1.838980L. Moravec1.831111113WJul 22 · 14:45F. Balcar1.67112127113P. Chlumsky2.10511101172
R. Jamrich10
WSep 6 · 18:34R. Jamrich1.4412311113J. Dvorak2.631011671WSep 6 · 16:55J. Dvorak1.918870R. Jamrich1.801111113WSep 6 · 16:25Z. Zahradka1.67119881R. Jamrich2.1091111113LSep 6 · 15:25R. Jamrich3.00118751J. Melichar1.3691111113WSep 4 · 18:00Z. Zahradka1.6111911592R. Jamrich2.20711811113LSep 4 · 16:55R. Jamrich2.0031080M. Dvorak1.731112113LSep 4 · 15:55R. Jamrich2.1054111172Z. Zahradka1.67111196113LSep 4 · 14:55R. Jamrich2.75128751J. Melichar1.40101111113LSep 1 · 16:50R. Jamrich2.63461191L. Moravec1.4411116113LSep 1 · 15:20F. Balcar1.5771111113R. Jamrich2.25119781
Upcoming Matches
F. Balcar
R. Jamrich
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