TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12410944
Played Aug 12Finished
David Sykora
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
411118116711118
Jan Hrncir
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDavid Sykora to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Sykora above · Jan Hrncir below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 88 set 5, 11-8 — our read held David Sykora at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H David Sykora 3–1 Jan Hrncir Jan Hrncir has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:33What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sykora
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Sykora
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sykora 1500 vs Hrncir 1466
Sykora
Correct
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sykora 0% vs Hrncir 60%
Hrncir
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sykora 20% vs Hrncir 60%
Hrncir
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sykora -5 · Hrncir -1
Sykora
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hrncir) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sykora form (0%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSykora 1.80 / Hrncir 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Hrncir)+5.5pp
TT Cup · #12410944
Sykora1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 104 of 166
Up 2–0, closes it91% 52 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it82% 76 of 93
Hrncir1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog56% won 9 of 16
Down 0–1, comes back50% 3 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSykora3wins
AwayHrncir1wins
3 of 4 to a deciderSykora leads 3–1, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSykoran = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayHrncir33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sykora1Hrncir3n = 4Hrncir took 3 of 4
S2Sykora3Hrncir1n = 4Sykora took 3 of 4
S3Sykora3Hrncir1n = 4Sykora took 3 of 4
S4Sykora2Hrncir2n = 4split evenly
S5Sykora2Hrncir1n = 3Sykora took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricSykoraHrncirS − HBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match44.541.5+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSykoraHrncirBasisWin rate · lifetime324 / 597 vs 104 / 19354.3%53.9%324 / 597 vs 104 / 193Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrncirSykora 1.80/Hrncir 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hrncir · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sykora won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 12 · 19:55D. Sykora—411117113J. Hrncir—11861182
WJul 30 · 18:50D. Sykora—11119113J. Hrncir—681151
WJul 2 · 19:20D. Sykora—691111123J. Hrncir—111191102
LMay 28 · 14:50D. Sykora—311118102J. Hrncir—117911123
D. Sykora10
LAug 27 · 14:05J. Vonasek1.671111113D. Sykora2.106370LAug 27 · 12:55A. Langer1.8391111123D. Sykora1.831176101WAug 27 · 12:25J. Vonasek1.50111191192D. Sykora2.50913112113LAug 27 · 11:25D. Sykora1.8031110V. Jr1.911111133WAug 24 · 17:28D. Sykora1.80611118133V. Jr1.91113711112LAug 24 · 16:20D. Sykora1.67541171D. Tichy2.1011114113LAug 24 · 15:20D. Sykora1.44711761J. Cerny2.6311911113WAug 24 · 14:20D. Sykora1.831111113V. Jr1.838780LAug 23 · 18:39M. Sochor1.401111113D. Sykora2.757890WAug 23 · 16:55D. Sykora1.281111113Z. Zahradka3.505850
J. Hrncir10
LSep 3 · 18:23J. Hrncir1.9011691372P. Moravec1.806111111113WSep 3 · 17:25M. Sochor2.2551070J. Hrncir1.571112113WSep 3 · 16:25J. Hrncir1.911011118163P. Moravec1.80126511142WSep 3 · 14:55M. Beran2.00101181142J. Hrncir1.73129114113WAug 17 · 17:30D. Tichy1.731011571J. Hrncir2.0012811113WAug 17 · 16:50J. Hrncir1.501191111113Z. Zahradka2.5061113842LAug 17 · 15:20M. Dvorak2.101211113J. Hrncir1.6710970LAug 17 · 14:50D. Tichy1.8391211113J. Hrncir1.831110381WAug 12 · 22:00J. Hendrych2.20961161J. Hrncir1.6111119113LAug 12 · 21:25J. Hrncir2.10113661O. Varecka1.6791111113
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