TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12480912
Played Aug 23Finished
David Sykora
Home
1.29
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115118115––––
Zdenek Zahradka
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:54 and never touched — 71.8% is still 71.8%
Graded at full timeDavid Sykora to win
71.8%
71.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Sykora above · Zdenek Zahradka below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 51 set 3, 11-5 — our read held David Sykora at 71.8%
51 points played in total.
H2H David Sykora 49–29 Zdenek Zahradka Zdenek Zahradka has won 29 of their 78 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:54What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Sykora
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
49-29 in 78
Sykora
Correct
gap of 20 in 78, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sykora 1542 vs Zahradka 1369
Sykora
Correct
both rated, 172 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sykora 80% vs Zahradka 0%
Sykora
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sykora 70% vs Zahradka 10%
Sykora
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sykora +1 · Zahradka -5
Zahradka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Sykora) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zahradka form (0%) is below what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSykora 1.28 / Zahradka 3.50
Signal prob.81% / 19%
Edge (Sykora)+8.0pp
TT Cup · #12480912
Sykora1.28
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 105 of 164
Up 2–0, closes it92% 54 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it82% 76 of 93
Zahradka3.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog37% won 74 of 199
Down 0–1, comes back15% 16 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSykora9wins
AwayZahradka1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSykora leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSykora100%6 of 6
AwayZahradka25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sykora6Zahradka4n = 10Sykora took 6 of 10
S2Sykora8Zahradka2n = 10Sykora took 8 of 10
S3Sykora7Zahradka3n = 10Sykora took 7 of 10
S4Sykora5Zahradka1n = 6Sykora took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSykoraZahradkaS − ZBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.932.1+7.8per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSykoraZahradkaBasisWin rate · lifetime321 / 585 vs 424 / 84454.9%50.2%321 / 585 vs 424 / 844Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SykoraSykora 1.28/Zahradka 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.1%
Sykora · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sykora won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 2 · 14:09D. Sykora—6760Z. Zahradka—1111113
WAug 2 · 11:55D. Sykora—812119113Z. Zahradka—111031192
WJul 28 · 11:50D. Sykora—1111113Z. Zahradka—5790
WJul 23 · 11:55D. Sykora—91111113Z. Zahradka—116961
WJul 12 · 12:25D. Sykora—18118113Z. Zahradka—1641161
WJul 9 · 13:25D. Sykora—151211133Z. Zahradka—13145111
WJul 9 · 10:20D. Sykora—1311113Z. Zahradka—11710
WJul 7 · 13:55D. Sykora—111112113Z. Zahradka—961461
WJul 7 · 13:25D. Sykora—1211113Z. Zahradka—10880
WJul 5 · 14:55D. Sykora—81111113Z. Zahradka—114791
D. Sykora10
LAug 27 · 14:05J. Vonasek1.671111113D. Sykora2.106370LAug 27 · 12:55A. Langer1.8391111123D. Sykora1.831176101WAug 27 · 12:25J. Vonasek1.50111191192D. Sykora2.50913112113LAug 27 · 11:25D. Sykora1.8031110V. Jr1.911111133WAug 24 · 17:28D. Sykora1.80611118133V. Jr1.91113711112LAug 24 · 16:20D. Sykora1.67541171D. Tichy2.1011114113LAug 24 · 15:20D. Sykora1.44711761J. Cerny2.6311911113WAug 24 · 14:20D. Sykora1.831111113V. Jr1.838780LAug 23 · 18:39M. Sochor1.401111113D. Sykora2.757890WAug 23 · 15:55D. Sykora1.361111113J. Dvorak3.009770
Z. Zahradka10
WSep 6 · 18:03J. Melichar1.44111011682Z. Zahradka2.63712811113LSep 6 · 17:25J. Melichar1.44117117113Z. Zahradka2.6381151192LSep 6 · 16:25Z. Zahradka1.67119881R. Jamrich2.1091111113LSep 6 · 14:55J. Dvorak1.80118612123Z. Zahradka1.914111110102LSep 5 · 18:04Z. Zahradka1.839118101D. Tichy1.8311711123LSep 5 · 17:25M. Filipek2.2011115123Z. Zahradka1.619911101WSep 5 · 16:25Z. Zahradka2.25111111113D. Tichy1.57913441LSep 5 · 14:55J. Dvorak1.83115118113Z. Zahradka1.8341171192LSep 4 · 18:00Z. Zahradka1.6111911592R. Jamrich2.20711811113LSep 4 · 17:25Z. Zahradka2.38571191J. Melichar1.5311119113
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