TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12480918
Played Aug 23Finished
David Sykora
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119117117––––
Jakub Dvorak
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:36 and never touched — 79.6% is still 79.6%
Graded at full timeDavid Sykora to win
79.6%
79.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Sykora above · Jakub Dvorak below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 56 set 3, 11-7 — our read held David Sykora at 79.6%
56 points played in total.
H2H David Sykora 14–3 Jakub Dvorak Jakub Dvorak has won 3 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:36What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Sykora
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-3 in 17
Sykora
Correct
gap of 11 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sykora 1549 vs Dvorak 1417
Sykora
Correct
both rated, 132 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sykora 60% vs Dvorak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sykora 60% vs Dvorak 30%
Sykora
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sykora -1 · Dvorak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Sykora)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dvorak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSykora 1.36 / Dvorak 3.00
Signal prob.80% / 20%
Edge (Sykora)+10.8pp
TT Cup · #12480918
Sykora1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 105 of 164
Up 2–0, closes it92% 54 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it82% 76 of 93
Dvorak3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog52% won 65 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back28% 16 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSykora8wins
AwayDvorak2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSykora leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSykora100%6 of 6
AwayDvorak50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sykora6Dvorak4n = 10Sykora took 6 of 10
S2Sykora6Dvorak4n = 10Sykora took 6 of 10
S3Sykora7Dvorak3n = 10Sykora took 7 of 10
S4Sykora6Dvorak2n = 8Sykora took 6 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSykoraDvorakS − DBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.534.1+4.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSykoraDvorakBasisWin rate · lifetime322 / 586 vs 158 / 33455%47.3%322 / 586 vs 158 / 334Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.736.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SykoraSykora 1.36/Dvorak 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.6%
Sykora · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sykora won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 23 · 15:55D. Sykora—1111113J. Dvorak—9770
WAug 16 · 15:55D. Sykora—11111113J. Dvorak—261171
WJun 17 · 17:50D. Sykora—111211113J. Dvorak—814941
LJun 17 · 15:50D. Sykora—7101181J. Dvorak—11128113
WMay 16 · 10:39D. Sykora—101111113J. Dvorak—129871
WMay 16 · 08:55D. Sykora—1311113J. Dvorak—11830
LMar 25 · 19:05D. Sykora—114481J. Dvorak—111211113
WMar 25 · 16:55D. Sykora—11711113J. Dvorak—711951
WFeb 23 · 18:55D. Sykora—11713113J. Dvorak—9111161
WFeb 23 · 16:50D. Sykora—811911113J. Dvorak—11411892
D. Sykora10
LAug 27 · 14:05J. Vonasek1.671111113D. Sykora2.106370LAug 27 · 12:55A. Langer1.8391111123D. Sykora1.831176101WAug 27 · 12:25J. Vonasek1.50111191192D. Sykora2.50913112113LAug 27 · 11:25D. Sykora1.8031110V. Jr1.911111133WAug 24 · 17:28D. Sykora1.80611118133V. Jr1.91113711112LAug 24 · 16:20D. Sykora1.67541171D. Tichy2.1011114113LAug 24 · 15:20D. Sykora1.44711761J. Cerny2.6311911113WAug 24 · 14:20D. Sykora1.831111113V. Jr1.838780LAug 23 · 18:39M. Sochor1.401111113D. Sykora2.757890WAug 23 · 16:55D. Sykora1.281111113Z. Zahradka3.505850
J. Dvorak10
LSep 6 · 18:34R. Jamrich1.4412311113J. Dvorak2.631011671LSep 6 · 16:55J. Dvorak1.918870R. Jamrich1.801111113WSep 6 · 15:55J. Dvorak1.831111113J. Melichar1.837780WSep 6 · 14:55J. Dvorak1.80118612123Z. Zahradka1.914111110102LSep 5 · 18:35J. Dvorak1.538111011152M. Filipek2.38115129173LSep 5 · 16:55J. Dvorak1.839480D. Tichy1.831111113WSep 5 · 15:55J. Dvorak1.4012118113M. Filipek2.751071171WSep 5 · 14:55J. Dvorak1.83115118113Z. Zahradka1.8341171192WAug 31 · 18:30J. Dvorak2.001111113J. Melichar1.732220WAug 31 · 17:25J. Dvorak2.101111163J. Melichar1.6756140
Upcoming Matches
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