TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13030328
Played Aug 27Finished
Jan Vonasek
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116113117––––
David Sykora
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:00 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDavid Sykora to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Vonasek above · David Sykora below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 49 set 3, 11-7 — our read held David Sykora at 54.0%
49 points played in total.
H2H Jan Vonasek 2–1 David Sykora David Sykora has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:00What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vonasek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vonasek 1561 vs Sykora 1528
Vonasek
Correct
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vonasek 60% vs Sykora 20%
Vonasek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vonasek 50% vs Sykora 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vonasek +1 · Sykora -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Vonasek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sykora form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVonasek 1.67 / Sykora 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Vonasek)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13030328
Vonasek1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 79 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it80% 52 of 65
Sykora2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 41 of 99
Down 0–1, comes back33% 20 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back19% 6 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeVonasek2wins
AwaySykora1wins
2 of 3 to a deciderVonasek leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVonasek66.7%2 of 3
AwaySykoran = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vonasek3Sykora0n = 3Vonasek took 3 of 3
S2Vonasek1Sykora2n = 3Sykora took 2 of 3
S3Vonasek1Sykora2n = 3Sykora took 2 of 3
S4Vonasek2Sykora1n = 3Vonasek took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricVonasekSykoraV − SBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match47.742.3+5.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVonasekSykoraBasisWin rate · lifetime350 / 715 vs 321 / 58649%54.8%350 / 715 vs 321 / 586Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VonasekVonasek 1.67/Sykora 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Vonasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vonasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 27 · 12:25J. Vonasek—111191192D. Sykora—913112113
WOct 26 · 23:15J. Vonasek—11127113D. Sykora—7101151
WOct 26 · 20:25J. Vonasek—118119123D. Sykora—911711102
J. Vonasek10
WSep 6 · 21:18M. Sulc2.381291181J. Vonasek1.5314118113LSep 6 · 20:20M. Sulc3.2511614113J. Vonasek1.337111271LSep 6 · 19:50D. Hyza1.611111133J. Vonasek2.2086110LSep 6 · 18:50J. Vonasek2.10410110M. Kulisek1.671112133LSep 4 · 09:59J. Vonasek2.20111951A. Rek1.6191111113LSep 4 · 08:55J. Vonasek2.25611114102V. Nadvornik1.57117911123WSep 4 · 07:55J. Vonasek2.38781211113A. Rek1.53111110842LSep 4 · 06:55J. Vonasek2.75711120J. Benak1.401113143LSep 2 · 13:50A. Rek1.5011911113J. Vonasek2.40711871LSep 2 · 12:50J. Vonasek2.38641161A. Rek1.5311114113
D. Sykora10
LAug 27 · 12:55A. Langer1.8391111123D. Sykora1.831176101WAug 27 · 12:25J. Vonasek1.50111191192D. Sykora2.50913112113LAug 27 · 11:25D. Sykora1.8031110V. Jr1.911111133WAug 24 · 17:28D. Sykora1.80611118133V. Jr1.91113711112LAug 24 · 16:20D. Sykora1.67541171D. Tichy2.1011114113LAug 24 · 15:20D. Sykora1.44711761J. Cerny2.6311911113WAug 24 · 14:20D. Sykora1.831111113V. Jr1.838780LAug 23 · 18:39M. Sochor1.401111113D. Sykora2.757890WAug 23 · 16:55D. Sykora1.281111113Z. Zahradka3.505850WAug 23 · 15:55D. Sykora1.361111113J. Dvorak3.009770
Upcoming Matches
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D. Sykora
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