TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13002133
Played Aug 24Finished
David Sykora
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711119711611––
Jiri Cerny
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:11 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeDavid Sykora to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDavid Sykora above · Jiri Cerny below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 73 set 4, 6-11 — our read held David Sykora at 64.5%
73 points played in total.
H2H David Sykora 4–1 Jiri Cerny Jiri Cerny has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:11What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Sykora
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Sykora
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sykora 1539 vs Cerny 1442
Sykora
Wrong
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sykora 60% vs Cerny 20%
Sykora
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sykora 70% vs Cerny 20%
Sykora
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sykora +1 · Cerny -4
Cerny
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Sykora) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cerny form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSykora 1.44 / Cerny 2.63
Signal prob.68% / 33%
Edge (Sykora)+3.0pp
TT Cup · #13002133
Sykora1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 101 of 160
Up 2–0, closes it92% 54 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it81% 74 of 91
Cerny2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 8 of 17
Down 0–1, comes back38% 3 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSykora4wins
AwayCerny1wins
1 of 5 to a deciderSykora leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSykoran = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayCerny33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sykora2Cerny3n = 5Cerny took 3 of 5
S2Sykora4Cerny1n = 5Sykora took 4 of 5
S3Sykora3Cerny2n = 5Sykora took 3 of 5
S4Sykora3Cerny1n = 4Sykora took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricSykoraCernyS − CBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match40.634.0+6.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSykoraCernyBasisWin rate · lifetime323 / 589 vs 69 / 15854.8%43.7%323 / 589 vs 69 / 158Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SykoraSykora 1.44/Cerny 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.5%
Sykora · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Cerny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 24 · 15:20D. Sykora—711761J. Cerny—11911113
WJul 29 · 17:24D. Sykora—1111113J. Cerny—3570
WJul 29 · 16:50D. Sykora—11119113J. Cerny—561131
WJun 29 · 18:08D. Sykora—41511113J. Cerny—1113761
WJun 29 · 17:25D. Sykora—1291112123J. Cerny—1411610102
D. Sykora10
LAug 27 · 14:05J. Vonasek1.671111113D. Sykora2.106370LAug 27 · 12:55A. Langer1.8391111123D. Sykora1.831176101WAug 27 · 12:25J. Vonasek1.50111191192D. Sykora2.50913112113LAug 27 · 11:25D. Sykora1.8031110V. Jr1.911111133WAug 24 · 17:28D. Sykora1.80611118133V. Jr1.91113711112LAug 24 · 16:20D. Sykora1.67541171D. Tichy2.1011114113WAug 24 · 14:20D. Sykora1.831111113V. Jr1.838780LAug 23 · 18:39M. Sochor1.401111113D. Sykora2.757890WAug 23 · 16:55D. Sykora1.281111113Z. Zahradka3.505850WAug 23 · 15:55D. Sykora1.361111113J. Dvorak3.009770
J. Cerny10
WSep 1 · 01:20J. Cerny2.2011136113D. Tichy1.618111161WSep 1 · 24:20J. Cerny2.0014119113P. Moravec1.731251151WAug 31 · 17:49J. Cerny2.001111113P. Moravec1.738590WAug 31 · 14:20J. Cerny2.6371111113M. Beran1.44118521LAug 24 · 17:59D. Tichy1.7381111113J. Cerny2.00118571WAug 24 · 16:50J. Cerny1.67911128113V. Jr2.10118101132LAug 24 · 14:50D. Tichy1.83119811113J. Cerny1.8381111372LAug 18 · 18:03J. Cerny1.8091370M. Sochor1.911115113LAug 18 · 16:55J. Cerny2.00911431J. Volek1.7311911113LAug 18 · 15:55J. Cerny1.731177111M. Sochor2.0081111133
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