TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12456499
Played Aug 18Finished
Jiri Cerny
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9111315711––––
Miroslav Sochor
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingJiri Cerny above · Miroslav Sochor below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 66 set 3, 7-11
66 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Cerny 23–15 Miroslav Sochor Miroslav Sochor has won 15 of their 38 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Cerny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sochor form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCerny 1.80 / Sochor 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Cerny)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #12456499
Cerny1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 26 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it79% 15 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it59% 20 of 34
Sochor1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 36 of 87
Down 0–1, comes back30% 16 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCerny4wins
AwaySochor6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSochor leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCerny28.6%2 of 7
AwaySochor33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cerny7Sochor3n = 10Cerny took 7 of 10
S2Cerny6Sochor4n = 10Cerny took 6 of 10
S3Cerny4Sochor6n = 10Sochor took 6 of 10
S4Cerny4Sochor5n = 9Sochor took 5 of 9
S5Cerny1Sochor4n = 5Sochor took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricCernySochorC − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.643.3+0.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCernySochorBasisWin rate · lifetime68 / 154 vs 269 / 51644.2%52.1%68 / 154 vs 269 / 516Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.336.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CernyCerny 1.80/Sochor 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Cerny · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sochor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 18 · 15:55J. Cerny—1177111M. Sochor—81111133
LJul 28 · 16:20J. Cerny—129915102M. Sochor—10111113123
LJun 29 · 15:25J. Cerny—119121052M. Sochor—6111012113
WJun 15 · 15:50J. Cerny—911114113M. Sochor—11981162
WJun 3 · 16:25J. Cerny—1111113M. Sochor—4690
WMay 26 · 15:20J. Cerny—11116113M. Sochor—571191
LApr 14 · 16:25J. Cerny—11137982M. Sochor—6111111113
LApr 13 · 17:55J. Cerny—111191262M. Sochor—6131110113
LApr 13 · 15:55J. Cerny—10118101M. Sochor—12811123
WMar 31 · 16:25J. Cerny—51711113M. Sochor—1115981
J. Cerny10
WSep 1 · 01:20J. Cerny2.2011136113D. Tichy1.618111161WSep 1 · 24:20J. Cerny2.0014119113P. Moravec1.731251151WAug 31 · 17:49J. Cerny2.001111113P. Moravec1.738590WAug 31 · 14:20J. Cerny2.6371111113M. Beran1.44118521LAug 24 · 17:59D. Tichy1.7381111113J. Cerny2.00118571WAug 24 · 16:50J. Cerny1.67911128113V. Jr2.10118101132WAug 24 · 15:20D. Sykora1.44711761J. Cerny2.6311911113LAug 24 · 14:50D. Tichy1.83119811113J. Cerny1.8381111372LAug 18 · 16:55J. Cerny2.00911431J. Volek1.7311911113LAug 18 · 15:55J. Cerny1.731177111M. Sochor2.0081111133
M. Sochor10
WSep 3 · 17:53M. Sochor1.571111123M. Beran2.2555100LSep 3 · 17:25M. Sochor2.2551070J. Hrncir1.571112113WSep 3 · 15:55M. Beran1.911193111M. Sochor1.8091111133LSep 3 · 15:25P. Moravec1.50111187113M. Sochor2.5065111192LAug 28 · 18:25M. Sulc1.85101211113M. Sochor1.851210731LAug 28 · 16:20J. Hendrych1.9110111614113M. Sochor1.80126141692WAug 28 · 15:50A. Langer1.6111891392M. Sochor2.208111111113LAug 28 · 14:50M. Sochor1.80121111552M. Sulc1.80146611113WAug 24 · 18:08J. Volek1.831111107102M. Sochor1.83691211123WAug 18 · 15:55J. Cerny1.731177111M. Sochor2.0081111133
Upcoming Matches
J. Cerny
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M. Sochor
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