TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13005441
Played Aug 24Finished
Dominik Tichy
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811118115117––
Jiri Cerny
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingDominik Tichy above · Jiri Cerny below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 72 set 4, 11-7
72 points played in total.
H2H Dominik Tichy 1–0 Jiri Cerny Jiri Cerny has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Tichy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tichy form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTichy 1.73 / Cerny 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Tichy)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13005441
Tichy1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 131 of 187
Up 2–0, closes it94% 64 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it83% 102 of 123
Cerny2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 8 of 17
Down 0–1, comes back38% 3 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeTichy1wins
AwayCerny0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderTichy leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricTichyCernyT − CBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match50.040.0+10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTichyCernyBasisWin rate · lifetime157 / 240 vs 70 / 15965.4%44%157 / 240 vs 70 / 159Avg sets wonper match2.41.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TichyTichy 1.73/Cerny 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Tichy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Tichy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 24 · 14:50D. Tichy—119811113J. Cerny—81111372
D. Tichy10
WSep 5 · 18:04Z. Zahradka1.839118101D. Tichy1.8311711123WSep 5 · 16:55J. Dvorak1.839480D. Tichy1.831111113LSep 5 · 16:25Z. Zahradka2.25111111113D. Tichy1.57913441LSep 5 · 15:25D. Tichy1.731812861M. Filipek2.00201011113LSep 1 · 01:20J. Cerny2.2011136113D. Tichy1.618111161WAug 31 · 17:18M. Beran1.67711511102D. Tichy2.10117116123LAug 31 · 15:50M. Beran1.61111111113D. Tichy2.20551341LAug 31 · 14:50D. Tichy2.0091171162P. Moravec1.73116118113LAug 30 · 14:28D. Tichy1.531110711102J. Kulveit2.38712113123WAug 30 · 13:25J. Melichar1.837411121D. Tichy1.8311118143
J. Cerny10
WSep 1 · 01:20J. Cerny2.2011136113D. Tichy1.618111161WSep 1 · 24:20J. Cerny2.0014119113P. Moravec1.731251151WAug 31 · 17:49J. Cerny2.001111113P. Moravec1.738590WAug 31 · 14:20J. Cerny2.6371111113M. Beran1.44118521WAug 24 · 16:50J. Cerny1.67911128113V. Jr2.10118101132WAug 24 · 15:20D. Sykora1.44711761J. Cerny2.6311911113LAug 24 · 14:50D. Tichy1.83119811113J. Cerny1.8381111372LAug 18 · 18:03J. Cerny1.8091370M. Sochor1.911115113LAug 18 · 16:55J. Cerny2.00911431J. Volek1.7311911113LAug 18 · 15:55J. Cerny1.731177111M. Sochor2.0081111133
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