TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13082138
Played Sep 5Finished
Zdenek Zahradka
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191113114114––
Dominik Tichy
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:49 and never touched — 61.3% is still 61.3%
Graded at full timeDominik Tichy to win
61.3%
61.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingZdenek Zahradka above · Dominik Tichy below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 74 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Dominik Tichy at 61.3%
74 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Zahradka 5–4 Dominik Tichy Dominik Tichy has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:49What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Tichy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zahradka 1427 vs Tichy 1491
Tichy
Wrong
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zahradka 20% vs Tichy 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zahradka 20% vs Tichy 40%
Tichy
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zahradka -3 · Tichy -2
Zahradka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Tichy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tichy form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZahradka 2.25 / Tichy 1.57
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Tichy)+2.4pp
TT Cup · #13082138
Zahradka2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 77 of 209
Down 0–1, comes back15% 17 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 62
Tichy1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 136 of 197
Up 2–0, closes it93% 67 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it82% 106 of 129
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeZahradka5wins
AwayTichy4wins
3 of 9 to a deciderZahradka leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZahradka66.7%2 of 3
AwayTichy50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zahradka3Tichy6n = 9Tichy took 6 of 9
S2Zahradka6Tichy3n = 9Zahradka took 6 of 9
S3Zahradka7Tichy2n = 9Zahradka took 7 of 9
S4Zahradka4Tichy3n = 7Zahradka took 4 of 7
S5Zahradka1Tichy2n = 3Tichy took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricZahradkaTichyZ − TBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match39.437.9+1.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZahradkaTichyBasisWin rate · lifetime418 / 835 vs 165 / 25850.1%64%418 / 835 vs 165 / 258Avg sets wonper match2.12.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TichyZahradka 2.25/Tichy 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.3%
Tichy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zahradka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 5 · 17:53Z. Zahradka—1011119112D. Tichy—129911133
LAug 5 · 17:25Z. Zahradka—116671D. Tichy—81111113
LJul 23 · 17:20Z. Zahradka—451211102D. Tichy—1111105123
WJul 23 · 14:50Z. Zahradka—1111113D. Tichy—9680
WJul 19 · 07:50Z. Zahradka—91112113D. Tichy—1151011
WJul 17 · 17:25Z. Zahradka—91111153D. Tichy—1197131
WJul 17 · 16:50Z. Zahradka—771111113D. Tichy—11116962
WJul 16 · 17:25Z. Zahradka—1112113D. Tichy—81050
LJul 16 · 14:50Z. Zahradka—1011341D. Tichy—12711113
Z. Zahradka10
WSep 6 · 18:03J. Melichar1.44111011682Z. Zahradka2.63712811113LSep 6 · 17:25J. Melichar1.44117117113Z. Zahradka2.6381151192LSep 6 · 16:25Z. Zahradka1.67119881R. Jamrich2.1091111113LSep 6 · 14:55J. Dvorak1.80118612123Z. Zahradka1.914111110102LSep 5 · 18:04Z. Zahradka1.839118101D. Tichy1.8311711123LSep 5 · 17:25M. Filipek2.2011115123Z. Zahradka1.619911101LSep 5 · 14:55J. Dvorak1.83115118113Z. Zahradka1.8341171192LSep 4 · 18:00Z. Zahradka1.6111911592R. Jamrich2.20711811113LSep 4 · 17:25Z. Zahradka2.38571191J. Melichar1.5311119113WSep 4 · 15:55R. Jamrich2.1054111172Z. Zahradka1.67111196113
D. Tichy10
WSep 5 · 18:04Z. Zahradka1.839118101D. Tichy1.8311711123WSep 5 · 16:55J. Dvorak1.839480D. Tichy1.831111113LSep 5 · 15:25D. Tichy1.731812861M. Filipek2.00201011113LSep 1 · 01:20J. Cerny2.2011136113D. Tichy1.618111161WAug 31 · 17:18M. Beran1.67711511102D. Tichy2.10117116123LAug 31 · 15:50M. Beran1.61111111113D. Tichy2.20551341LAug 31 · 14:50D. Tichy2.0091171162P. Moravec1.73116118113LAug 30 · 14:28D. Tichy1.531110711102J. Kulveit2.38712113123WAug 30 · 13:25J. Melichar1.837411121D. Tichy1.8311118143WAug 30 · 12:25D. Tichy1.611111113J. Kulveit2.204570
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