TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13023264
Played Aug 27Finished
David Sykora
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
3111111113––––
Vaclav Hejda Jr
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:08 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeVaclav Hejda Jr to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Sykora above · Vaclav Hejda Jr below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 1-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 50 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Vaclav Hejda Jr at 56.6%
50 points played in total.
H2H David Sykora 16–20 Vaclav Hejda Jr David Sykora has won 16 of their 36 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:08What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sykora
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-20 in 36
Jr
Correct
gap of 4 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sykora 1525 vs Jr 1579
Jr
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sykora 40% vs Jr 80%
Jr
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sykora 60% vs Jr 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sykora +1 · Jr +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jr) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSykora 1.80 / Jr 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jr)+5.5pp
TT Cup · #13023264
Sykora1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 100 of 160
Up 2–0, closes it91% 53 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it81% 72 of 89
Jr1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog45% won 88 of 194
Down 0–1, comes back27% 23 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSykora5wins
AwayJr5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSykoran = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayJr62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sykora2Jr8n = 10Jr took 8 of 10
S2Sykora5Jr5n = 10split evenly
S3Sykora7Jr3n = 10Sykora took 7 of 10
S4Sykora3Jr4n = 7Jr took 4 of 7
S5Sykora2Jr1n = 3Sykora took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSykoraJrS − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match36.037.3−1.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSykoraJrBasisWin rate · lifetime320 / 584 vs 377 / 78054.8%48.3%320 / 584 vs 377 / 780Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrSykora 1.80/Jr 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 11:25D. Sykora—31110V. Jr—1111133
WAug 24 · 17:28D. Sykora—611118133V. Jr—113711112
WAug 24 · 14:20D. Sykora—1111113V. Jr—8780
LAug 10 · 13:50D. Sykora—561181V. Jr—11117113
WAug 10 · 11:20D. Sykora—13117113V. Jr—1171181
WAug 3 · 10:50D. Sykora—1021113113V. Jr—121171142
LJul 23 · 10:55D. Sykora—81111752V. Jr—114611113
LJul 21 · 14:15D. Sykora—77120V. Jr—1111143
WJul 21 · 10:55D. Sykora—91111113V. Jr—119561
LJul 20 · 11:20D. Sykora—971171V. Jr—11117113
D. Sykora10
LAug 27 · 14:05J. Vonasek1.671111113D. Sykora2.106370LAug 27 · 12:55A. Langer1.8391111123D. Sykora1.831176101WAug 27 · 12:25J. Vonasek1.50111191192D. Sykora2.50913112113WAug 24 · 17:28D. Sykora1.80611118133V. Jr1.91113711112LAug 24 · 16:20D. Sykora1.67541171D. Tichy2.1011114113LAug 24 · 15:20D. Sykora1.44711761J. Cerny2.6311911113WAug 24 · 14:20D. Sykora1.831111113V. Jr1.838780LAug 23 · 18:39M. Sochor1.401111113D. Sykora2.757890WAug 23 · 16:55D. Sykora1.281111113Z. Zahradka3.505850WAug 23 · 15:55D. Sykora1.361111113J. Dvorak3.009770
V. Jr10
LSep 2 · 13:19A. Langer1.8371411113V. Jr1.871112391LSep 2 · 12:20A. Langer1.801111113V. Jr1.917480LSep 2 · 11:50A. Rek1.501413113V. Jr2.50121180LSep 2 · 10:50V. Jr2.00712571J. Vonasek1.73111011113WSep 1 · 14:35V. Jr2.5011115183A. Rek1.487611161WSep 1 · 13:25V. Jr2.38511714113O. Fiklik1.53117111292WSep 1 · 11:55A. Langer1.8011101251V. Jr1.91131210113WSep 1 · 11:25A. Rek1.50861161V. Jr2.5011118113LAug 24 · 17:28D. Sykora1.80611118133V. Jr1.91113711112LAug 24 · 14:20D. Sykora1.831111113V. Jr1.838780
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