TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13023890
Played Aug 27Finished
Jan Vonasek
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1191113911112911
David Sykora
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:53 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeJan Vonasek to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Vonasek above · David Sykora below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-2
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 97 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Jan Vonasek at 62.5%
97 points played in total.
H2H Jan Vonasek 2–0 David Sykora David Sykora has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:53What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Vonasek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vonasek 1562 vs Sykora 1525
Vonasek
Wrong
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vonasek 40% vs Sykora 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vonasek 40% vs Sykora 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vonasek -1 · Sykora -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Vonasek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vonasek form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVonasek 1.50 / Sykora 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Vonasek)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13023890
Vonasek1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 79 of 128
Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it80% 52 of 65
Sykora2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 41 of 99
Down 0–1, comes back33% 20 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back19% 6 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeVonasek2wins
AwaySykora0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderVonasek leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricVonasekSykoraV − SBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match46.040.5+5.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVonasekSykoraBasisWin rate · lifetime349 / 713 vs 320 / 58449%54.8%349 / 713 vs 320 / 584Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VonasekVonasek 1.50/Sykora 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Vonasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sykora won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WOct 26 · 23:15J. Vonasek—11127113D. Sykora—7101151
WOct 26 · 20:25J. Vonasek—118119123D. Sykora—911711102
J. Vonasek10
WSep 6 · 21:18M. Sulc2.381291181J. Vonasek1.5314118113LSep 6 · 20:20M. Sulc3.2511614113J. Vonasek1.337111271LSep 6 · 19:50D. Hyza1.611111133J. Vonasek2.2086110LSep 6 · 18:50J. Vonasek2.10410110M. Kulisek1.671112133LSep 4 · 09:59J. Vonasek2.20111951A. Rek1.6191111113LSep 4 · 08:55J. Vonasek2.25611114102V. Nadvornik1.57117911123WSep 4 · 07:55J. Vonasek2.38781211113A. Rek1.53111110842LSep 4 · 06:55J. Vonasek2.75711120J. Benak1.401113143LSep 2 · 13:50A. Rek1.5011911113J. Vonasek2.40711871LSep 2 · 12:50J. Vonasek2.38641161A. Rek1.5311114113
D. Sykora10
LAug 27 · 14:05J. Vonasek1.671111113D. Sykora2.106370LAug 27 · 12:55A. Langer1.8391111123D. Sykora1.831176101LAug 27 · 11:25D. Sykora1.8031110V. Jr1.911111133WAug 24 · 17:28D. Sykora1.80611118133V. Jr1.91113711112LAug 24 · 16:20D. Sykora1.67541171D. Tichy2.1011114113LAug 24 · 15:20D. Sykora1.44711761J. Cerny2.6311911113WAug 24 · 14:20D. Sykora1.831111113V. Jr1.838780LAug 23 · 18:39M. Sochor1.401111113D. Sykora2.757890WAug 23 · 16:55D. Sykora1.281111113Z. Zahradka3.505850WAug 23 · 15:55D. Sykora1.361111113J. Dvorak3.009770
Upcoming Matches
J. Vonasek
Nothing scheduled
D. Sykora
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