TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12451015
Played Aug 17Finished
Dominik Tichy
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012118511711––
Jan Hrncir
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingDominik Tichy above · Jan Hrncir below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 75 set 4, 7-11
75 points played in total.
H2H Dominik Tichy 2–0 Jan Hrncir Jan Hrncir has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Tichy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tichy form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTichy 1.73 / Hrncir 2.00
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Tichy)+2.0pp
TT Cup · #12451015
Tichy1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite71% won 128 of 181
Up 2–0, closes it94% 64 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it84% 101 of 121
Hrncir2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog50% won 9 of 18
Down 0–1, comes back50% 3 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeTichy2wins
AwayHrncir0wins
Tichy leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home2
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricTichyHrncirT − HBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match43.028.5+14.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTichyHrncirBasisWin rate · lifetime152 / 232 vs 103 / 19465.5%53.1%152 / 232 vs 103 / 194Avg sets wonper match2.42.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.839.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TichyTichy 1.73/Hrncir 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.7%
Tichy · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hrncir won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 17 · 14:50D. Tichy—91211113J. Hrncir—1110381
WJul 23 · 16:50D. Tichy—111110113J. Hrncir—631241
D. Tichy10
WSep 5 · 18:04Z. Zahradka1.839118101D. Tichy1.8311711123WSep 5 · 16:55J. Dvorak1.839480D. Tichy1.831111113LSep 5 · 16:25Z. Zahradka2.25111111113D. Tichy1.57913441LSep 5 · 15:25D. Tichy1.731812861M. Filipek2.00201011113LSep 1 · 01:20J. Cerny2.2011136113D. Tichy1.618111161WAug 31 · 17:18M. Beran1.67711511102D. Tichy2.10117116123LAug 31 · 15:50M. Beran1.61111111113D. Tichy2.20551341LAug 31 · 14:50D. Tichy2.0091171162P. Moravec1.73116118113LAug 30 · 14:28D. Tichy1.531110711102J. Kulveit2.38712113123WAug 30 · 13:25J. Melichar1.837411121D. Tichy1.8311118143
J. Hrncir10
LSep 3 · 18:23J. Hrncir1.9011691372P. Moravec1.806111111113WSep 3 · 17:25M. Sochor2.2551070J. Hrncir1.571112113WSep 3 · 16:25J. Hrncir1.911011118163P. Moravec1.80126511142WSep 3 · 14:55M. Beran2.00101181142J. Hrncir1.73129114113WAug 17 · 16:50J. Hrncir1.501191111113Z. Zahradka2.5061113842LAug 17 · 15:20M. Dvorak2.101211113J. Hrncir1.6710970LAug 17 · 14:50D. Tichy1.8391211113J. Hrncir1.831110381WAug 12 · 22:00J. Hendrych2.20961161J. Hrncir1.6111119113LAug 12 · 21:25J. Hrncir2.10113661O. Varecka1.6791111113LAug 12 · 19:55D. Sykora1.80411117113J. Hrncir1.9111861182
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.