TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13091510
Played Sep 7Finished
Michal Brozek
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511117611811––
Pavel Benes
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePavel Benes to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Brozek above · Pavel Benes below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 70 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Pavel Benes at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Michal Brozek 24–29 Pavel Benes Michal Brozek has won 24 of their 53 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:07What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Benes
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-29 in 53
Benes
Correct
gap of 5 in 53, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brozek 1705 vs Benes 1786
Benes
Correct
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brozek 60% vs Benes 100%
Benes
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brozek 70% vs Benes 90%
Benes
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Brozek +1 · Benes +5
Benes
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Benes)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Benes form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrozek 1.83 / Benes 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Benes)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13091510
Brozek1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Benes1.83
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBrozek6wins
AwayBenes4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBrozek leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrozek85.7%6 of 7
AwayBenes100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brozek7Benes3n = 10Brozek took 7 of 10
S2Brozek2Benes8n = 10Benes took 8 of 10
S3Brozek7Benes3n = 10Brozek took 7 of 10
S4Brozek2Benes7n = 9Benes took 7 of 9
S5Brozek4Benes0n = 4Brozek took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrozekBenesBrozek − BenesBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.239.8+2.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrozekBenesBasisWin rate · lifetime533 / 1023 vs 269 / 56452.1%47.7%533 / 1023 vs 269 / 564Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BenesBrozek 1.83/Benes 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Benes · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Benes won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 08:55M. Brozek—118114123P. Benes—611811102
WAug 24 · 10:04M. Brozek—1111113P. Benes—4950
WAug 24 · 08:55M. Brozek—11311113P. Benes—811481
WAug 20 · 10:50M. Brozek—1210118113P. Benes—101281182
LAug 15 · 22:28M. Brozek—11141191P. Benes—13165113
LAug 15 · 21:25M. Brozek—11111181P. Benes—13135113
WAug 14 · 18:20M. Brozek—1161011113P. Benes—41112762
WAug 10 · 08:25M. Brozek—126117113P. Benes—101171182
LJul 29 · 12:55M. Brozek—118891P. Benes—51111113
LJul 24 · 12:55M. Brozek—911981P. Benes—11911113
M. Brozek10
WSep 7 · 18:55M. Brozek2.751111123D. Bochnak1.4096100LSep 5 · 22:35M. Brozek1.751212881M. Kulisek1.95141011113LSep 5 · 21:25M. Kulisek2.0017101111113M. Brozek1.7319126672WSep 5 · 20:25M. Brozek1.5711711113O. Fiklik2.25311871WSep 5 · 18:55A. Rek2.50861161M. Brozek1.5011116113WSep 4 · 14:00D. Hyza1.90135101162M. Brozek1.801111127113LSep 4 · 12:50D. Hyza1.919111211113M. Brozek1.80111310962WSep 4 · 11:50M. Brozek1.611114113O. Fiklik2.2091260WSep 4 · 10:20A. Langer2.5058100M. Brozek1.501111123WSep 3 · 10:09M. Brozek2.251114611113J. Benak1.5791611972
P. Benes10
WSep 7 · 19:25M. Kulisek2.50119181P. Benes1.5071111113WSep 3 · 10:40P. Benes1.5711611133J. Kocab2.259117111WSep 3 · 09:25J. Benak1.73131111492P. Benes2.00154711113WSep 3 · 08:25P. Benes1.80101111133M. Brozek1.911289111WSep 3 · 06:55J. Kocab2.10591171P. Benes1.6711116113LSep 2 · 14:25P. Benes2.6010412111M. Cerny1.45121110133WSep 2 · 13:25D. Vesecky1.409630P. Benes2.751111113WSep 2 · 12:25P. Benes2.751131011113M. Cerny1.4041112952WSep 2 · 10:55J. Zacharda1.7378120P. Benes2.001111143WSep 1 · 10:30P. Benes1.731112113J. Kocab2.0051030
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