TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13077742
Played Sep 4Finished
Petr Chlumsky
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181191012115––
Martin Filipek
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingPetr Chlumsky above · Martin Filipek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 77 set 4, 11-5
77 points played in total.
H2H Petr Chlumsky 5–0 Martin Filipek Martin Filipek has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Chlumsky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Filipek form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChlumsky 1.44 / Filipek 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Chlumsky)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13077742
Chlumsky1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 17 of 31
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it73% 8 of 11
Filipek2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 87 of 197
Down 0–1, comes back28% 27 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeChlumsky5wins
AwayFilipek0wins
Chlumsky leads 5–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChlumsky100%3 of 3
AwayFilipekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chlumsky3Filipek2n = 5Chlumsky took 3 of 5
S2Chlumsky4Filipek1n = 5Chlumsky took 4 of 5
S3Chlumsky5Filipek0n = 5Chlumsky took 5 of 5
S4Chlumsky3Filipek0n = 3Chlumsky took 3 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home360%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricChlumskyFilipekC − FBasisWins50+5in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match40.231.2+9.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChlumskyFilipekBasisWin rate · lifetime137 / 297 vs 256 / 58746.1%43.6%137 / 297 vs 256 / 587Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.139.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChlumskyChlumsky 1.44/Filipek 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Chlumsky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Chlumsky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 4 · 12:55P. Chlumsky—91511143M. Filipek—11139121
WMay 4 · 14:05P. Chlumsky—1311113M. Filipek—11750
WMay 4 · 12:25P. Chlumsky—61111113M. Filipek—118781
WNov 3 · 09:25P. Chlumsky—11711113M. Filipek—711551
WSep 20 · 11:55P. Chlumsky—1611113M. Filipek—14570
P. Chlumsky10
WSep 4 · 12:55P. Chlumsky1.5091511143M. Filipek2.5011139121LSep 4 · 11:55P. Chlumsky1.8391070F. Balcar1.831112113WSep 4 · 10:55P. Chlumsky1.80711117113A. Kral1.9111991192LJul 30 · 09:53P. Chlumsky1.50211871A. Kral2.5011811113LJul 30 · 09:25P. Chlumsky2.005940P. Moravec1.731111113LJul 30 · 07:55F. Marat2.63611811113P. Chlumsky1.4411711852WJul 30 · 07:25A. Kral2.2511116792P. Chlumsky1.57971111113WJul 27 · 14:05P. Chlumsky1.731311113F. Marat2.0011960WJul 27 · 13:25P. Chlumsky1.504111111113F. Marat2.5011691372LJul 27 · 11:55L. Moravec1.91791111113P. Chlumsky1.8011116822
M. Filipek10
LSep 7 · 07:55R. Muller1.91111311113M. Filipek1.80915471WSep 7 · 07:25D. Pasek1.83101211131M. Filipek1.8312146153WSep 5 · 18:35J. Dvorak1.538111011152M. Filipek2.38115129173WSep 5 · 17:25M. Filipek2.2011115123Z. Zahradka1.619911101LSep 5 · 15:55J. Dvorak1.4012118113M. Filipek2.751071171WSep 5 · 15:25D. Tichy1.731812861M. Filipek2.00201011113LSep 4 · 12:55P. Chlumsky1.5091511143M. Filipek2.5011139121LSep 4 · 12:25A. Kral2.0011111517113M. Filipek1.7348171962LSep 4 · 11:25M. Filipek1.8041161372F. Balcar1.911161111113WSep 3 · 21:58M. Filipek1.7311911113A. Kral2.00811891
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