TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12325379
Played Jul 30Finished
Petr Chlumsky
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511911411––––
Petr Moravec
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:44 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Moravec to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Chlumsky above · Petr Moravec below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 51 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Petr Moravec at 54.0%
51 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:44What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Moravec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Chlumsky 1474 vs Moravec 1546
Moravec
Correct
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chlumsky 60% vs Moravec 100%
Moravec
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chlumsky 50% vs Moravec 90%
Moravec
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chlumsky -1 · Moravec +5
Moravec
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Moravec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moravec form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChlumsky 2.00 / Moravec 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Moravec)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #12325379
Chlumsky2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 22 of 53
Down 0–1, comes back26% 8 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Moravec1.73
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 26 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it71% 17 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricChlumskyMoravecBasisWin rate · lifetime150 / 323 vs 84 / 17246.4%48.8%150 / 323 vs 84 / 172Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoravecChlumsky 2.00/Moravec 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Moravec · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Moravec won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
P. Chlumsky10
WSep 4 · 14:04P. Chlumsky1.44111110113M. Filipek2.63891251WSep 4 · 12:55P. Chlumsky1.5091511143M. Filipek2.5011139121LSep 4 · 11:55P. Chlumsky1.8391070F. Balcar1.831112113WSep 4 · 10:55P. Chlumsky1.80711117113A. Kral1.9111991192LJul 30 · 09:53P. Chlumsky1.50211871A. Kral2.5011811113LJul 30 · 07:55F. Marat2.63611811113P. Chlumsky1.4411711852WJul 30 · 07:25A. Kral2.2511116792P. Chlumsky1.57971111113WJul 27 · 14:05P. Chlumsky1.731311113F. Marat2.0011960WJul 27 · 13:25P. Chlumsky1.504111111113F. Marat2.5011691372LJul 27 · 11:55L. Moravec1.91791111113P. Chlumsky1.8011116822
P. Moravec10
WSep 3 · 18:23J. Hrncir1.9011691372P. Moravec1.806111111113WSep 3 · 16:55M. Beran1.73811931P. Moravec2.0011611113LSep 3 · 16:25J. Hrncir1.911011118163P. Moravec1.80126511142WSep 3 · 15:25P. Moravec1.50111187113M. Sochor2.5065111192WSep 1 · 01:50P. Moravec2.501112113M. Beran1.5061080LSep 1 · 24:20J. Cerny2.0014119113P. Moravec1.731251151LAug 31 · 17:49J. Cerny2.001111113P. Moravec1.738590WAug 31 · 14:50D. Tichy2.0091171162P. Moravec1.73116118113LAug 24 · 18:39M. Sulc1.441111108113P. Moravec2.6367121152WAug 24 · 16:55J. Volek2.258470P. Moravec1.571111113
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