TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13074042
Played Sep 3Finished
Martin Filipek
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118911118119––
Adam Kral
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingMartin Filipek above · Adam Kral below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 78 set 4, 11-9
78 points played in total.
H2H Martin Filipek 42–37 Adam Kral Adam Kral has won 37 of their 79 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Filipek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kral form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFilipek 1.73 / Kral 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Filipek)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13074042
Filipek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 54 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it78% 38 of 49
Kral2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 91 of 210
Down 0–1, comes back26% 26 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back12% 7 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFilipek7wins
AwayKral3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderFilipek leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFilipek100%5 of 5
AwayKral60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Filipek5Kral5n = 10split evenly
S2Filipek6Kral4n = 10Filipek took 6 of 10
S3Filipek8Kral2n = 10Filipek took 8 of 10
S4Filipek3Kral3n = 6split evenly
S5Filipek2Kral1n = 3Filipek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricFilipekKralF − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.935.9+3.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFilipekKralBasisWin rate · lifetime255 / 583 vs 405 / 77543.7%52.3%255 / 583 vs 405 / 775Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.440.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FilipekFilipek 1.73/Kral 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Filipek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Filipek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 19:50M. Filipek—129117113A. Kral—101171192
WAug 15 · 08:25M. Filipek—51111123A. Kral—1148101
WAug 5 · 07:55M. Filipek—1111123A. Kral—56100
WAug 4 · 11:25M. Filipek—1111113A. Kral—5990
WJul 31 · 09:53M. Filipek—111211113A. Kral—1310871
WJul 31 · 07:25M. Filipek—1111123A. Kral—67100
LJul 30 · 14:04M. Filipek—511691A. Kral—11711113
LJul 30 · 13:25M. Filipek—881113122A. Kral—1111611143
LJul 13 · 07:55M. Filipek—91060A. Kral—1112113
WJul 11 · 17:53M. Filipek—118115113A. Kral—71181192
M. Filipek10
LSep 7 · 07:55R. Muller1.91111311113M. Filipek1.80915471WSep 7 · 07:25D. Pasek1.83101211131M. Filipek1.8312146153WSep 5 · 18:35J. Dvorak1.538111011152M. Filipek2.38115129173WSep 5 · 17:25M. Filipek2.2011115123Z. Zahradka1.619911101LSep 5 · 15:55J. Dvorak1.4012118113M. Filipek2.751071171WSep 5 · 15:25D. Tichy1.731812861M. Filipek2.00201011113LSep 4 · 14:04P. Chlumsky1.44111110113M. Filipek2.63891251LSep 4 · 12:55P. Chlumsky1.5091511143M. Filipek2.5011139121LSep 4 · 12:25A. Kral2.0011111517113M. Filipek1.7348171962LSep 4 · 11:25M. Filipek1.8041161372F. Balcar1.911161111113
A. Kral10
LSep 4 · 14:35F. Balcar2.25511117113A. Kral1.5711961152WSep 4 · 13:25F. Balcar2.50210111172A. Kral1.50111294113WSep 4 · 12:25A. Kral2.0011111517113M. Filipek1.7348171962LSep 4 · 10:55P. Chlumsky1.80711117113A. Kral1.9111991192WSep 3 · 20:50D. Pasek2.20147791A. Kral1.61121111113LSep 3 · 19:50A. Kral2.10101171192M. Filipek1.67129117113WSep 3 · 18:20J. Dohnal1.67711971A. Kral2.1011911113WSep 1 · 17:55L. Moravec1.8612812392A. Kral1.7810111011113WSep 1 · 16:20F. Balcar2.50811981A. Kral1.5011811113LSep 1 · 15:50L. Moravec2.38611911143A. Kral1.53117118122
Upcoming Matches
M. Filipek
A. Kral
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