TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13085205
Played Sep 6Finished
Bohuslav Budik
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611117811119911
Petr Vodal
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:19 and never touched — 64.0% is still 64.0%
Graded at full timeBohuslav Budik to win
64.0%
64.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
94 points played in total.
Set by set
611117811119911
H2H Bohuslav Budik 14–15 Petr Vodal Bohuslav Budik has won 14 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:19What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Budik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-15 in 29
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Budik 1614 vs Vodal 1375
Budik
Wrong
both rated, 239 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Budik 60% vs Vodal 20%
Budik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Budik 80% vs Vodal 20%
Budik
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Budik -1 · Vodal +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Budik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vodal form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBudik 1.53 / Vodal 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Budik)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13085205
Budik1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 42 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it100% 17 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it66% 25 of 38
Vodal2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog50% won 50 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back35% 18 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBudik6wins
AwayVodal4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBudik leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBudik66.7%6 of 9
AwayVodaln = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Budik9Vodal1n = 10Budik took 9 of 10
S2Budik5Vodal5n = 10split evenly
S3Budik5Vodal5n = 10split evenly
S4Budik3Vodal4n = 7Vodal took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBudikVodalB − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match37.034.4+2.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBudikVodalBasisWin rate · lifetime221 / 500 vs 248 / 49044.2%50.6%221 / 500 vs 248 / 490Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BudikBudik 1.53/Vodal 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64%
Budik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vodal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 08:25B. Budik—1111113P. Vodal—5690
WAug 23 · 14:30B. Budik—1111113P. Vodal—6940
LAug 23 · 13:25B. Budik—471261P. Vodal—111110113
WAug 20 · 10:10B. Budik—1111173P. Vodal—68150
WAug 20 · 07:25B. Budik—11117113P. Vodal—981141
LJul 26 · 08:50B. Budik—11761182P. Vodal—611115113
WJul 22 · 06:55B. Budik—12911113P. Vodal—1011781
LJul 13 · 16:50B. Budik—116851P. Vodal—51111113
WJul 12 · 17:23B. Budik—111148113P. Vodal—57111192
LJul 12 · 16:20B. Budik—118971P. Vodal—71111113
B. Budik10
WSep 6 · 09:35B. Budik1.441111113T. Hnizdil2.608890LSep 6 · 07:20J. Dohnal1.73111111153B. Budik2.007913131WSep 6 · 06:50T. Hnizdil1.5791461182B. Budik2.251112118113WSep 5 · 10:50B. Budik2.009111011113T. Hnizdil1.7211512672LSep 5 · 09:25T. Hnizdil1.571111911113B. Budik2.2591311872WSep 5 · 08:25B. Budik1.671111113P. Vodal2.105690WSep 5 · 06:55T. Rein1.9113661142B. Budik1.801111119113WSep 2 · 10:40B. Budik1.59111111153J. Srnka2.126136131WSep 2 · 09:25S. Holik1.95511116102B. Budik1.77115811123WSep 2 · 08:25B. Budik1.772012113J. Srnka1.93181060
P. Vodal10
LSep 6 · 10:04J. Dohnal1.83111135113P. Vodal1.8364111192WSep 6 · 07:50P. Vodal3.75116118113T. Hnizdil1.2581171192LSep 6 · 06:20J. Dohnal1.801181011113P. Vodal1.9171112962LSep 5 · 10:20T. Rein1.73771211113P. Vodal2.00111110972LSep 5 · 08:55T. Rein1.80141114163P. Vodal1.91121312141LSep 5 · 08:25B. Budik1.671111113P. Vodal2.105690LSep 5 · 07:25P. Vodal3.4011680T. Hnizdil1.301311113LAug 30 · 13:30P. Vodal1.73107111172J. Dohnal2.00121197113WAug 30 · 12:50P. Vodal2.001011116123J. Dohnal1.73126311102LAug 30 · 11:20T. Rein1.8371212113P. Vodal1.8311101031
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