TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13045000
Played Aug 30Finished
Tomas Rein
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
71112101210113––
Petr Vodal
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:15 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Rein to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Rein above · Petr Vodal below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 76 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Tomas Rein at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Rein 37–37 Petr Vodal Dead even across their 74 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:15What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Vodal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
37-37 in 74
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rein 1530 vs Vodal 1434
Rein
Correct
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rein 60% vs Vodal 40%
Rein
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rein 70% vs Vodal 20%
Rein
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rein +3 · Vodal -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rein)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vodal form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRein 1.83 / Vodal 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Rein)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13045000
Rein1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Vodal1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRein5wins
AwayVodal5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRein66.7%4 of 6
AwayVodal75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rein6Vodal4n = 10Rein took 6 of 10
S2Rein7Vodal3n = 10Rein took 7 of 10
S3Rein7Vodal3n = 10Rein took 7 of 10
S4Rein3Vodal4n = 7Vodal took 4 of 7
S5Rein1Vodal4n = 5Vodal took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricReinVodalR − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.135.8+4.3per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReinVodalBasisWin rate · lifetime386 / 829 vs 248 / 48846.6%50.8%386 / 829 vs 248 / 488Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.039.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ReinRein 1.83/Vodal 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Rein · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Rein won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 11:20T. Rein—71212113P. Vodal—11101031
WAug 29 · 12:55T. Rein—1111113P. Vodal—5470
WAug 27 · 15:50T. Rein—118116113P. Vodal—51141182
LAug 25 · 14:50T. Rein—114111152P. Vodal—911139113
LAug 22 · 06:55T. Rein—116991P. Vodal—71111113
WAug 21 · 17:50T. Rein—1112113P. Vodal—51030
LAug 21 · 14:20T. Rein—71111992P. Vodal—116911113
LAug 16 · 11:25T. Rein—91111842P. Vodal—113811113
LAug 14 · 14:00T. Rein—91171162P. Vodal—114117113
WAug 14 · 10:20T. Rein—1111123P. Vodal—75100
T. Rein10
WSep 6 · 22:35T. Rein1.921211113L. Vich1.7810540WSep 6 · 21:25L. Vich2.3858111182T. Rein1.53111175113LSep 6 · 20:25T. Rein1.40119121192Z. Vyskocil2.75311143113WSep 6 · 18:55T. Jr1.50116471T. Rein2.5091111113WSep 5 · 10:20T. Rein1.73771211113P. Vodal2.00111110972WSep 5 · 08:55T. Rein1.80141114163P. Vodal1.91121312141WSep 5 · 07:55T. Rein4.00981111113T. Hnizdil1.2211119572LSep 5 · 06:55T. Rein1.9113661142B. Budik1.801111119113LSep 3 · 14:09T. Hnizdil1.251111113T. Rein3.753990LSep 3 · 12:55V. Koutnik1.611181110113T. Rein2.2091181272
P. Vodal10
LSep 6 · 10:04J. Dohnal1.83111135113P. Vodal1.8364111192WSep 6 · 08:50B. Budik1.5361181192P. Vodal2.38117119113WSep 6 · 07:50P. Vodal3.75116118113T. Hnizdil1.2581171192LSep 6 · 06:20J. Dohnal1.801181011113P. Vodal1.9171112962LSep 5 · 10:20T. Rein1.73771211113P. Vodal2.00111110972LSep 5 · 08:55T. Rein1.80141114163P. Vodal1.91121312141LSep 5 · 08:25B. Budik1.671111113P. Vodal2.105690LSep 5 · 07:25P. Vodal3.4011680T. Hnizdil1.301311113LAug 30 · 13:30P. Vodal1.73107111172J. Dohnal2.00121197113WAug 30 · 12:50P. Vodal2.001011116123J. Dohnal1.73126311102
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