Jaroslav Dohnal vs Radek Muller 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13038388

Played Aug 28Finished

Jaroslav Dohnal

Home

2.00

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

119114811118––

Radek Muller

Away

1.73

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 2

How it is goingJaroslav Dohnal above · Radek Muller below

Set 1 · 11-9

Set 2 · 11-4

Set 3 · 8-11

Set 4 · 11-8

Point 73 set 4, 11-8

73 points played in total.

H2H Jaroslav Dohnal 16–20 Radek Muller Jaroslav Dohnal has won 16 of their 36 meetings.

Last 10 · 2–8Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Muller)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Muller form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsDohnal 2.00 / Muller 1.73

Signal prob.43% / 57%

Edge (Muller)+3.2pp

TT Cup · #13038388

Dohnal2.00

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog19% won 4 of 21

Down 0–1, comes back8% 1 of 12

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6

Muller1.73

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite54% won 44 of 81

Up 2–0, closes it85% 23 of 27

Up 1–0, closes it74% 32 of 43

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeDohnal2wins

AwayMuller8wins

5 of 10 to a deciderMuller leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeDohnaln = 1, below the 3 needed

AwayMuller88.9%8 of 9

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Dohnal1Muller9n = 10Muller took 9 of 10

S2Dohnal6Muller4n = 10Dohnal took 6 of 10

S3Dohnal5Muller5n = 10split evenly

S4Dohnal4Muller5n = 9Muller took 5 of 9

S5Dohnal1Muller4n = 5Muller took 4 of 5

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away440%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricDohnalMullerD − MBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match38.943.2−4.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricDohnalMullerBasisWin rate · lifetime400 / 670 vs 164 / 32359.7%50.8%400 / 670 vs 164 / 323Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.539.3per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Muller

Dohnal 2.00/Muller 1.73

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

56.9%

Muller · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Dohnal won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LJul 24 · 22:30J. Dohnal—101191142R. Muller—129119113

LJul 24 · 21:25J. Dohnal—971111R. Muller—11117113

LJul 3 · 22:30J. Dohnal—417111172R. Muller—111925113

WJul 3 · 21:25J. Dohnal—111111113R. Muller—513741

LJul 2 · 19:55J. Dohnal—51060R. Muller—1112113

LJun 28 · 14:20J. Dohnal—511661R. Muller—11911113

LApr 21 · 21:55J. Dohnal—7111471R. Muller—11616113

LApr 21 · 19:50J. Dohnal—71111872R. Muller—118611113

LApr 4 · 14:55J. Dohnal—71161372R. Muller—1191111113

WMar 2 · 21:55J. Dohnal—611117113R. Muller—11781162

J. Dohnal10

WSep 6 · 10:04J. Dohnal1.83111135113P. Vodal1.8364111192 LSep 6 · 08:20J. Dohnal2.10157681T. Hnizdil1.67131111113 WSep 6 · 07:20J. Dohnal1.73111111153B. Budik2.007913131 WSep 6 · 06:20J. Dohnal1.801181011113P. Vodal1.9171112962 WSep 5 · 14:30A. Jr2.2587111182J. Dohnal1.55111189113 WSep 5 · 13:25L. Rek1.67127951J. Dohnal2.10101111113 LSep 5 · 12:25J. Dohnal1.33918261A. Jr3.2511161193 WSep 5 · 10:55J. Sebl2.7591011101J. Dohnal1.4011129123 WSep 3 · 21:28D. Pasek1.6784111382J. Dohnal2.101111911113 WSep 3 · 20:20J. Dohnal2.001612125153M. Filipek1.7314101411132

R. Muller10

LSep 7 · 08:55R. Muller1.91111111472D. Pasek1.80139911113 WSep 7 · 07:55R. Muller1.91111311113M. Filipek1.80915471 LSep 7 · 06:55R. Muller1.918121111142F. Balcar1.801110139163 LSep 1 · 21:53J. Dohnal2.00781112133R. Muller1.731111910112 WSep 1 · 20:50O. Knazik1.73961141R. Muller2.0011117113 WSep 1 · 19:50R. Muller2.10131111113B. Budik1.60157781 LSep 1 · 18:20J. Dohnal2.00612148113R. Muller1.731110121162 LAug 28 · 20:55R. Muller1.576680J. Sebl2.251111113 LAug 28 · 19:55R. Muller1.6110860J. Dohnal2.201211113 WAug 28 · 18:55R. Muller1.93111199113B. Budik1.7775111132

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