TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12480950
Played Aug 23Finished
Ondrej Knazik
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
131110121210119––
Radek Muller
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:41 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeOndrej Knazik to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Knazik above · Radek Muller below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 88 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Ondrej Knazik at 55.7%
88 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Knazik 17–11 Radek Muller Radek Muller has won 11 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:41What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Knazik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-11 in 28
Knazik
Correct
gap of 6 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Knazik 1604 vs Muller 1548
Knazik
Correct
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Knazik 60% vs Muller 40%
Knazik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Knazik 60% vs Muller 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Knazik +1 · Muller +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Knazik)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKnazik 1.73 / Muller 2.00
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Knazik)+2.0pp
TT Cup · #12480950
Knazik1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 89 of 165
Up 2–0, closes it88% 44 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it63% 58 of 92
Muller2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 17 of 42
Down 0–1, comes back18% 3 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKnazik8wins
AwayMuller2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKnazik leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKnazik87.5%7 of 8
AwayMullern = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Knazik8Muller2n = 10Knazik took 8 of 10
S2Knazik7Muller3n = 10Knazik took 7 of 10
S3Knazik7Muller3n = 10Knazik took 7 of 10
S4Knazik3Muller2n = 5Knazik took 3 of 5
S5Knazik2Muller1n = 3Knazik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKnazikMullerK − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.335.0+5.3per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKnazikMullerBasisWin rate · lifetime461 / 892 vs 168 / 33451.7%50.3%461 / 892 vs 168 / 334Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KnazikKnazik 1.73/Muller 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.7%
Knazik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Knazik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 1 · 14:24O. Knazik—114751R. Muller—81111113
WAug 1 · 13:25O. Knazik—1111113R. Muller—8850
WJul 12 · 22:23O. Knazik—1913811143R. Muller—17111113122
WJul 12 · 21:25O. Knazik—1111113R. Muller—9370
WJul 10 · 10:20O. Knazik—1111113R. Muller—5990
WJun 23 · 13:25O. Knazik—1512113R. Muller—131070
LJun 23 · 10:50O. Knazik—910111172R. Muller—111295113
WJun 4 · 09:25O. Knazik—1111113R. Muller—6990
WFeb 24 · 11:20O. Knazik—10111111113R. Muller—12136382
WFeb 12 · 09:50O. Knazik—11115123R. Muller—8911101
O. Knazik10
WSep 3 · 14:39V. Koutnik2.25441161O. Knazik1.5711119113LSep 3 · 13:25T. Hnizdil1.5711118143O. Knazik2.259611121WSep 3 · 12:25O. Knazik1.401111113T. Rein2.753540WSep 3 · 10:55V. Koutnik2.20118971O. Knazik1.6161111113LSep 1 · 21:25O. Knazik2.401113561B. Budik1.5181511113LSep 1 · 20:50O. Knazik1.73961141R. Muller2.0011117113LSep 1 · 19:20J. Dohnal1.612121111113O. Knazik2.20111013982WSep 1 · 18:50B. Budik1.856680O. Knazik1.851111113WAug 31 · 10:03A. Jr2.639980O. Knazik1.441111113LAug 31 · 09:25L. Rek1.91116117113O. Knazik1.8051171192
R. Muller10
LSep 7 · 06:55R. Muller1.918121111142F. Balcar1.801110139163LSep 1 · 21:53J. Dohnal2.00781112133R. Muller1.731111910112WSep 1 · 20:50O. Knazik1.73961141R. Muller2.0011117113WSep 1 · 19:50R. Muller2.10131111113B. Budik1.60157781LSep 1 · 18:20J. Dohnal2.00612148113R. Muller1.731110121162LAug 28 · 21:53J. Dohnal2.0011118113R. Muller1.73941181LAug 28 · 20:55R. Muller1.576680J. Sebl2.251111113LAug 28 · 19:55R. Muller1.6110860J. Dohnal2.201211113WAug 28 · 18:55R. Muller1.93111199113B. Budik1.7775111132LAug 23 · 21:28T. Rein2.63911118113R. Muller1.4411981152
Upcoming Matches
O. Knazik
Nothing scheduled
R. Muller
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