TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13008270
Played Aug 25Finished
Vojtech Koutnik
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
6111111311115––
Josef Vintr
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:51 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVojtech Koutnik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVojtech Koutnik above · Josef Vintr below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-1
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 69 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Vojtech Koutnik at 54.0%
69 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Koutnik 1–0 Josef Vintr Josef Vintr has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:51What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Koutnik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Koutnik 1532 vs Vintr 1504
Koutnik
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Koutnik 40% vs Vintr 20%
Koutnik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Koutnik 50% vs Vintr 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Koutnik +1 · Vintr -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Koutnik) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vintr form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoutnik 1.50 / Vintr 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Koutnik)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13008270
Koutnik1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 29 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it86% 12 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it63% 20 of 32
Vintr2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog50% won 11 of 22
Down 0–1, comes back31% 4 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back17% 1 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKoutnik1wins
AwayVintr0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderKoutnik leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKoutnikVintrK − VBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match56.053.0+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoutnikVintrBasisWin rate · lifetime147 / 324 vs 34 / 6145.4%55.7%147 / 324 vs 34 / 61Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.141.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoutnikKoutnik 1.50/Vintr 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Koutnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Koutnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 18 · 14:50V. Koutnik—1181214113J. Vintr—711141292
V. Koutnik10
LSep 3 · 14:39V. Koutnik2.25441161O. Knazik1.5711119113WSep 3 · 12:55V. Koutnik1.611181110113T. Rein2.2091181272WSep 3 · 11:55V. Koutnik2.751211113T. Hnizdil1.4010460LSep 3 · 10:55V. Koutnik2.20118971O. Knazik1.6161111113WAug 26 · 14:35F. Dvorak1.4581070V. Koutnik2.601112113WAug 26 · 13:25A. Jr2.50119661V. Koutnik1.5091111113LAug 26 · 12:25V. Koutnik2.63671181F. Dvorak1.4411116113WAug 26 · 10:55T. Rein2.2581111872V. Koutnik1.57118311113WAug 25 · 14:10S. Matousch2.268850V. Koutnik1.521111113LAug 25 · 12:50T. Jr2.381011814113V. Koutnik1.53128111252
J. Vintr10
LSep 3 · 13:33J. Vintr1.8371211101P. Cibik1.8311146123LSep 3 · 12:50J. Vintr2.381111117122T. Jr1.53913511143LSep 3 · 11:20S. Matousch2.251112123J. Vintr1.57410100WSep 3 · 10:50P. Cibik1.809860J. Vintr1.911111113WSep 1 · 14:00P. Cibik1.80109120J. Vintr1.901211143WSep 1 · 12:50J. Vintr1.8091111143S. Matousch1.911138121LSep 1 · 11:20P. Cibik1.736101311133J. Vintr2.001112115112WSep 1 · 10:50J. Rolik2.2559111162J. Vintr1.57111138113WAug 26 · 17:50S. Matousch1.9581491182J. Vintr1.751112119113WAug 26 · 16:20J. Vintr2.001111113M. Cesak1.736660
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.