TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13055606
Played Aug 31Finished
Lukas Vich
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1151012119711711
Simon Matousch
Away
2.07
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:26 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeLukas Vich to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLukas Vich above · Simon Matousch below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 94 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Lukas Vich at 55.3%
94 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:26What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (55%)
Vich
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Vich 1532 vs Matousch 1415
Vich
Wrong
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vich 60% vs Matousch 40%
Vich
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vich 70% vs Matousch 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vich +3 · Matousch -2
Vich
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Vich) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVich 1.67 / Matousch 2.07
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Vich)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13055606
Vich1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite46% won 34 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it79% 11 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it61% 20 of 33
Matousch2.07
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog29% won 17 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back9% 3 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricVichMatouschBasisWin rate · lifetime240 / 521 vs 162 / 33846.1%47.9%240 / 521 vs 162 / 338Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VichVich 1.67/Matousch 2.07
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Vich · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Matousch won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
L. Vich10
LSep 6 · 22:35T. Rein1.921211113L. Vich1.7810540LSep 6 · 21:25L. Vich2.3858111182T. Rein1.53111175113WSep 6 · 19:55T. Jr2.00811991L. Vich1.7311811113WSep 6 · 19:25Z. Vyskocil1.731110111162L. Vich2.00712913113WSep 2 · 22:03L. Vich1.671711123M. Juhasz2.10158100WSep 2 · 20:55L. Vich1.8311113113M. Juhasz1.83891181LSep 2 · 19:55L. Vich1.831151051Z. Vyskocil1.8391112113LSep 2 · 18:55L. Vich2.205380T. Barsa1.611111113WAug 31 · 20:50L. Vich1.7311714113Z. Dusek2.009111241WAug 31 · 19:20S. Matousch2.2075111192L. Vich1.61111186113
S. Matousch10
LSep 3 · 14:04T. Jr1.171111113S. Matousch4.503530LSep 3 · 12:20S. Matousch1.57119371P. Cibik2.2581111113WSep 3 · 11:20S. Matousch2.251112123J. Vintr1.57410100LSep 3 · 10:20S. Matousch2.6381111552T. Jr1.44118411113LSep 1 · 13:30J. Rolik2.20811148123S. Matousch1.611171211102LSep 1 · 12:50J. Vintr1.8091111143S. Matousch1.911138121LSep 1 · 11:50S. Matousch1.677611131J. Rolik2.1011119153LSep 1 · 10:20P. Cibik1.8351111113S. Matousch1.83118791LAug 31 · 20:20S. Matousch1.6712991182M. Dlask2.101011113113LAug 31 · 19:20S. Matousch2.2075111192L. Vich1.61111186113
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