TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13055717
Played Aug 31Finished
Christian Kratochvil
Home
1.90
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12108111191210––
Martin Juhasz
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeChristian Kratochvil to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingChristian Kratochvil above · Martin Juhasz below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 83 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Christian Kratochvil at 54.0%
83 points played in total.
H2H Christian Kratochvil 1–0 Martin Juhasz Martin Juhasz has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:56What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Juhasz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kratochvil 1504 vs Juhasz 1464
Kratochvil
Correct
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kratochvil 60% vs Juhasz 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kratochvil 70% vs Juhasz 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kratochvil +2 · Juhasz +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Juhasz) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKratochvil 1.90 / Juhasz 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Juhasz)+2.6pp
TT Cup · #13055717
Kratochvil1.90
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog52% won 16 of 31
Down 0–1, comes back28% 5 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Juhasz1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite68% won 46 of 68
Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it81% 33 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKratochvil1wins
AwayJuhasz0wins
Kratochvil leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKratochvilJuhaszK − JBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match46.045.0+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKratochvilJuhaszBasisWin rate · lifetime241 / 422 vs 61 / 11657.1%52.6%241 / 422 vs 61 / 116Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JuhaszKratochvil 1.90/Juhasz 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Juhasz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kratochvil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 31 · 19:55C. Kratochvil—51411163M. Juhasz—11128141
C. Kratochvil10
WAug 31 · 21:25C. Kratochvil1.571111113Z. Vyskocil2.259950WAug 31 · 19:55M. Juhasz1.6111128141C. Kratochvil2.2051411163LAug 31 · 19:25T. Barsa1.80811118113C. Kratochvil1.9111781192LAug 19 · 22:35C. Kratochvil3.1567111182T. Barsa1.30111179113WAug 19 · 20:55M. Zajicek1.61119115152C. Kratochvil2.20811911173WAug 19 · 20:25Z. Vyskocil2.25891171C. Kratochvil1.5711117113WAug 19 · 19:25C. Kratochvil2.20111110133T. Barsa1.619912111LJul 31 · 22:00C. Kratochvil1.67511681L. Vich2.1011711113WJul 31 · 21:25C. Kratochvil1.5741414133L. Vich2.25111212111WJul 31 · 19:55T. Jr2.0011991172C. Kratochvil1.73711119113
M. Juhasz10
LSep 2 · 22:03L. Vich1.671711123M. Juhasz2.10158100LSep 2 · 20:55L. Vich1.8311113113M. Juhasz1.83891181LSep 2 · 20:25T. Barsa1.7313119133M. Juhasz2.0011911111LSep 2 · 19:25M. Juhasz1.73511881Z. Vyskocil2.0011611113WAug 31 · 20:55M. Juhasz2.2011411113T. Barsa1.61611961LAug 31 · 19:55M. Juhasz1.6111128141C. Kratochvil2.2051411163WAug 31 · 18:55M. Juhasz2.001112713113Z. Vyskocil1.73610111582WAug 26 · 17:20M. Juhasz1.8051111113M. Cesak1.91115991LAug 26 · 16:50M. Juhasz1.408640S. Matousch2.751111113WAug 26 · 15:20J. Vintr2.10411971M. Juhasz1.6711711113
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