TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12459749
Played Aug 19Finished
Martin Zajicek
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1189111195111517
Christian Kratochvil
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:19 and never touched — 64.7% is still 64.7%
Graded at full timeMartin Zajicek to win
64.7%
64.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMartin Zajicek above · Christian Kratochvil below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 15-17
Point 107 set 5, 15-17 — our read held Martin Zajicek at 64.7%
107 points played in total.
H2H Martin Zajicek 3–0 Christian Kratochvil Christian Kratochvil has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:19What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Zajicek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Zajicek
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zajicek 1496 vs Kratochvil 1482
Zajicek
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zajicek 40% vs Kratochvil 60%
Kratochvil
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zajicek 50% vs Kratochvil 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zajicek -3 · Kratochvil +1
Zajicek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Zajicek) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kratochvil form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZajicek 1.61 / Kratochvil 2.20
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Zajicek)+2.0pp
TT Cup · #12459749
Zajicek1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 15 of 26
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it71% 10 of 14
Kratochvil2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog50% won 14 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back25% 4 of 16
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeZajicek3wins
AwayKratochvil0wins
Zajicek leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zajicek2Kratochvil1n = 3Zajicek took 2 of 3
S2Zajicek3Kratochvil0n = 3Zajicek took 3 of 3
S3Zajicek2Kratochvil1n = 3Zajicek took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricZajicekKratochvilZ − KBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match39.030.7+8.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZajicekKratochvilBasisWin rate · lifetime56 / 115 vs 242 / 42548.7%56.9%56 / 115 vs 242 / 425Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZajicekZajicek 1.61/Kratochvil 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.7%
Zajicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kratochvil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 29 · 19:25M. Zajicek—11119113C. Kratochvil—761151
WNov 19 · 12:10M. Zajicek—51111153C. Kratochvil—1197131
WNov 18 · 12:40M. Zajicek—1111113C. Kratochvil—9950
M. Zajicek10
LAug 19 · 22:05Z. Vyskocil4.158111211113M. Zajicek1.19111310882LAug 19 · 19:55M. Zajicek1.91114941T. Barsa1.8061111113LAug 19 · 18:55M. Zajicek1.7310330Z. Vyskocil2.001211113LJul 30 · 22:25M. Zajicek1.1911811232Z. Vyskocil3.90511711113WJul 30 · 20:55Z. Dusek2.5011281382M. Zajicek1.506111111113WJul 30 · 20:25Z. Vyskocil1.7311370M. Zajicek2.001115113WJul 30 · 19:25M. Zajicek2.1013611113T. Jr1.671111581LJul 29 · 22:29J. Dohnal1.4811118113M. Zajicek2.45701141WJul 29 · 20:55Z. Dusek2.009850M. Zajicek1.731111113LJul 29 · 20:25J. Dohnal1.5381111113M. Zajicek2.38116761
C. Kratochvil10
WAug 31 · 22:25C. Kratochvil1.9012811123M. Juhasz1.8010119101WAug 31 · 21:25C. Kratochvil1.571111113Z. Vyskocil2.259950WAug 31 · 19:55M. Juhasz1.6111128141C. Kratochvil2.2051411163LAug 31 · 19:25T. Barsa1.80811118113C. Kratochvil1.9111781192LAug 19 · 22:35C. Kratochvil3.1567111182T. Barsa1.30111179113WAug 19 · 20:25Z. Vyskocil2.25891171C. Kratochvil1.5711117113WAug 19 · 19:25C. Kratochvil2.20111110133T. Barsa1.619912111LJul 31 · 22:00C. Kratochvil1.67511681L. Vich2.1011711113WJul 31 · 21:25C. Kratochvil1.5741414133L. Vich2.25111212111WJul 31 · 19:55T. Jr2.0011991172C. Kratochvil1.73711119113
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