TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12319143
Played Jul 29Finished
Zdenek Dusek
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911811511––––
Martin Zajicek
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:46 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeMartin Zajicek to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZdenek Dusek above · Martin Zajicek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 55 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Martin Zajicek at 59.7%
55 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Dusek 3–2 Martin Zajicek Martin Zajicek has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:46What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Zajicek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dusek 1405 vs Zajicek 1497
Zajicek
Correct
both rated, 93 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dusek 60% vs Zajicek 40%
Dusek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dusek 40% vs Zajicek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dusek +1 · Zajicek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Zajicek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zajicek form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDusek 2.00 / Zajicek 1.73
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Zajicek)+6.0pp
TT Cup · #12319143
Dusek2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 75 of 161
Down 0–1, comes back28% 23 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back12% 5 of 41
Zajicek1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 14 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it75% 9 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeDusek3wins
AwayZajicek2wins
2 of 5 to a deciderDusek leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDusek66.7%2 of 3
AwayZajicekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dusek3Zajicek2n = 5Dusek took 3 of 5
S2Dusek4Zajicek1n = 5Dusek took 4 of 5
S3Dusek1Zajicek4n = 5Zajicek took 4 of 5
S4Dusek3Zajicek2n = 5Dusek took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricDusekZajicekD − ZBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match39.841.0−1.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDusekZajicekBasisWin rate · lifetime197 / 470 vs 56 / 11941.9%47.1%197 / 470 vs 56 / 119Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZajicekDusek 2.00/Zajicek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Zajicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zajicek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WJul 21 · 20:55Z. Dusek—11119123M. Zajicek—9511101
LJan 10 · 20:55Z. Dusek—911281M. Zajicek—11911113
WSep 15 · 21:40Z. Dusek—11117113M. Zajicek—641181
WSep 15 · 19:10Z. Dusek—611411123M. Zajicek—116119102
LJun 1 · 18:50Z. Dusek—12711752M. Zajicek—1011911113
Z. Dusek10
WAug 31 · 21:30M. Dlask1.60111241182Z. Dusek2.20714119113LAug 31 · 20:50L. Vich1.7311714113Z. Dusek2.009111241WAug 31 · 19:50Z. Dusek1.5011119113M. Dlask2.50661161LAug 31 · 18:20S. Matousch2.251111123Z. Dusek1.5736100WAug 27 · 21:28Z. Dusek2.2511135113T. Barsa1.578111171LAug 27 · 20:50Z. Vyskocil1.61821113113Z. Dusek2.20111161152WAug 27 · 19:50Z. Dusek2.38118411113T. Barsa1.5361111562LAug 27 · 18:20T. Jr1.331111153Z. Dusek3.2546130LAug 24 · 21:23T. Jr1.361111123Z. Dusek3.0067100LAug 24 · 20:50Z. Dusek2.2511117892T. Barsa1.57791111113
M. Zajicek10
LAug 19 · 22:05Z. Vyskocil4.158111211113M. Zajicek1.19111310882LAug 19 · 20:55M. Zajicek1.61119115152C. Kratochvil2.20811911173LAug 19 · 19:55M. Zajicek1.91114941T. Barsa1.8061111113LAug 19 · 18:55M. Zajicek1.7310330Z. Vyskocil2.001211113LJul 30 · 22:25M. Zajicek1.1911811232Z. Vyskocil3.90511711113WJul 30 · 20:55Z. Dusek2.5011281382M. Zajicek1.506111111113WJul 30 · 20:25Z. Vyskocil1.7311370M. Zajicek2.001115113WJul 30 · 19:25M. Zajicek2.1013611113T. Jr1.671111581LJul 29 · 22:29J. Dohnal1.4811118113M. Zajicek2.45701141LJul 29 · 20:25J. Dohnal1.5381111113M. Zajicek2.38116761
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