TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12459752
Played Aug 19Finished
Martin Zajicek
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116411911411––
Tomas Barsa
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:20 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Barsa to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Zajicek above · Tomas Barsa below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 67 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Tomas Barsa at 54.0%
67 points played in total.
H2H Martin Zajicek 0–1 Tomas Barsa Martin Zajicek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:20What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Barsa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Zajicek 1496 vs Barsa 1542
Barsa
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zajicek 60% vs Barsa 40%
Zajicek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zajicek 50% vs Barsa 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zajicek -2 · Barsa -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Barsa) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barsa form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZajicek 1.91 / Barsa 1.80
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Barsa)+7.0pp
TT Cup · #12459752
Zajicek1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 10 of 25
Down 0–1, comes back13% 2 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Barsa1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite55% won 55 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it88% 22 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it66% 36 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeZajicek0wins
AwayBarsa1wins
Barsa leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricZajicekBarsaZ − BBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match28.039.0−11.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZajicekBarsaBasisWin rate · lifetime56 / 115 vs 83 / 14848.7%56.1%56 / 115 vs 83 / 148Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.739.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BarsaZajicek 1.91/Barsa 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Barsa · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Barsa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 19 · 19:55M. Zajicek—114941T. Barsa—61111113
M. Zajicek10
LAug 19 · 22:05Z. Vyskocil4.158111211113M. Zajicek1.19111310882LAug 19 · 20:55M. Zajicek1.61119115152C. Kratochvil2.20811911173LAug 19 · 18:55M. Zajicek1.7310330Z. Vyskocil2.001211113LJul 30 · 22:25M. Zajicek1.1911811232Z. Vyskocil3.90511711113WJul 30 · 20:55Z. Dusek2.5011281382M. Zajicek1.506111111113WJul 30 · 20:25Z. Vyskocil1.7311370M. Zajicek2.001115113WJul 30 · 19:25M. Zajicek2.1013611113T. Jr1.671111581LJul 29 · 22:29J. Dohnal1.4811118113M. Zajicek2.45701141WJul 29 · 20:55Z. Dusek2.009850M. Zajicek1.731111113LJul 29 · 20:25J. Dohnal1.5381111113M. Zajicek2.38116761
T. Barsa10
LSep 2 · 22:35T. Barsa1.48111281182Z. Vyskocil2.455101113113WSep 2 · 21:25Z. Vyskocil2.5091211672T. Barsa1.501110911113WSep 2 · 20:25T. Barsa1.7313119133M. Juhasz2.0011911111WSep 2 · 18:55L. Vich2.205380T. Barsa1.611111113WAug 31 · 21:53T. Barsa1.5011711113Z. Vyskocil2.50811581LAug 31 · 20:55M. Juhasz2.2011411113T. Barsa1.61611961WAug 31 · 20:25Z. Vyskocil2.3861111182T. Barsa1.53111128113WAug 31 · 19:25T. Barsa1.80811118113C. Kratochvil1.9111781192LAug 27 · 21:28Z. Dusek2.2511135113T. Barsa1.578111171LAug 27 · 20:20T. Jr2.20118119113T. Barsa1.6141191182
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