Martin Zajicek vs Tomas Cerveny Jr 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #12330380

Played Jul 30Finished

Martin Zajicek

Home

2.10

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

1311611115118––

Tomas Cerveny Jr

Away

1.67

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:45 and never touched — 58.8% is still 58.8%

Graded at full time

Tomas Cerveny Jr to win

58.8%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

no pick shipped

How it is goingMartin Zajicek above · Tomas Cerveny Jr below

Set 1 · 13-11

Set 2 · 6-11

Set 3 · 11-5

Set 4 · 11-8

Point 76 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Tomas Cerveny Jr at 58.8%

76 points played in total.

H2H Martin Zajicek 1–4 Tomas Cerveny Jr Martin Zajicek has won 1 of their 5 meetings.

Last 5 · 1–4Same sideHead to head

The pickNo pick published

Sealed 11:45

What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.67 (56%)

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

1-4 in 5

Wrong

gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Zajicek 1480 vs Jr 1479

Zajicek

Correct

both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Zajicek 40% vs Jr 40%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Zajicek 50% vs Jr 40%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Zajicek -1 · Jr +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Jr)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Jr form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsZajicek 2.10 / Jr 1.67

Signal prob.41% / 59%

Edge (Jr)+3.0pp

TT Cup · #12330380

Zajicek2.10

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog32% won 8 of 25

Down 0–1, comes back13% 2 of 16

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7

Jr1.67

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite61% won 85 of 140

Up 2–0, closes it93% 42 of 45

Up 1–0, closes it80% 61 of 76

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 5 meetings

HomeZajicek1wins

AwayJr4wins

2 of 5 to a deciderJr leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeZajicekn = 2, below the 3 needed

AwayJr100%3 of 3

Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Zajicek2Jr3n = 5Jr took 3 of 5

S2Zajicek3Jr2n = 5Zajicek took 3 of 5

S3Zajicek3Jr2n = 5Zajicek took 3 of 5

S4Zajicek1Jr4n = 5Jr took 4 of 5

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home120%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away240%

1–3Four sets, away240%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 5 meetings

MetricZajicekJrZ − JBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match41.241.8−0.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricZajicekJrBasisWin rate · lifetime57 / 121 vs 334 / 61147.1%54.7%57 / 121 vs 334 / 611Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.8per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Zajicek 2.10/Jr 1.67

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

58.8%

Jr · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Zajicek won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record5

LMay 28 · 10:29M. Zajicek—4119101T. Jr—11911123

WMay 28 · 09:25M. Zajicek—13511113T. Jr—1111591

LApr 27 · 20:55M. Zajicek—811111392T. Jr—112215113

LFeb 27 · 11:31M. Zajicek—115571T. Jr—71111113

LFeb 27 · 09:55M. Zajicek—1111111182T. Jr—136613113

M. Zajicek10

LAug 19 · 22:05Z. Vyskocil4.158111211113M. Zajicek1.19111310882 LAug 19 · 20:55M. Zajicek1.61119115152C. Kratochvil2.20811911173 LAug 19 · 19:55M. Zajicek1.91114941T. Barsa1.8061111113 LAug 19 · 18:55M. Zajicek1.7310330Z. Vyskocil2.001211113 LJul 30 · 22:25M. Zajicek1.1911811232Z. Vyskocil3.90511711113 WJul 30 · 20:55Z. Dusek2.5011281382M. Zajicek1.506111111113 WJul 30 · 20:25Z. Vyskocil1.7311370M. Zajicek2.001115113 LJul 29 · 22:29J. Dohnal1.4811118113M. Zajicek2.45701141 WJul 29 · 20:55Z. Dusek2.009850M. Zajicek1.731111113 LJul 29 · 20:25J. Dohnal1.5381111113M. Zajicek2.38116761

T. Jr10

WSep 6 · 22:04Z. Vyskocil1.6711111010112T. Jr2.10371212133 LSep 6 · 20:55T. Jr1.73116771Z. Vyskocil2.0081111113 LSep 6 · 19:55T. Jr2.00811991L. Vich1.7311811113 LSep 6 · 18:55T. Jr1.50116471T. Rein2.5091111113 WSep 3 · 14:04T. Jr1.171111113S. Matousch4.503530 WSep 3 · 12:50J. Vintr2.381111117122T. Jr1.53913511143 WSep 3 · 11:50T. Jr1.36121411113P. Cibik3.001016881 WSep 3 · 10:20S. Matousch2.6381111552T. Jr1.44118411113 WAug 30 · 21:55Z. Vyskocil1.807270T. Jr1.901111113 LAug 30 · 20:50T. Jr1.8012514101Z. Vyskocil1.91141112123

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