TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12324173
Played Jul 29Finished
Jaroslav Dohnal
Home
1.48
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117110811114––
Martin Zajicek
Away
2.45
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingJaroslav Dohnal above · Martin Zajicek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-0
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 63 set 4, 11-4
63 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Dohnal 3–1 Martin Zajicek Martin Zajicek has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Dohnal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zajicek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (41%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDohnal 1.48 / Zajicek 2.45
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Dohnal)-0.0pp
TT Cup · #12324173
Dohnal1.48
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 139 of 235
Up 2–0, closes it93% 65 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it75% 92 of 122
Zajicek2.45
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 8 of 23
Down 0–1, comes back13% 2 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeDohnal3wins
AwayZajicek1wins
2 of 4 to a deciderDohnal leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dohnal2Zajicek2n = 4split evenly
S2Dohnal2Zajicek2n = 4split evenly
S3Dohnal3Zajicek1n = 4Dohnal took 3 of 4
S4Dohnal3Zajicek1n = 4Dohnal took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricDohnalZajicekD − ZBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match43.236.5+6.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDohnalZajicekBasisWin rate · lifetime430 / 712 vs 57 / 12060.4%47.5%430 / 712 vs 57 / 120Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.537.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DohnalDohnal 1.48/Zajicek 2.45
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.3%
Dohnal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Dohnal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WJul 29 · 20:25J. Dohnal—81111113M. Zajicek—116761
WNov 9 · 07:40J. Dohnal—11913113M. Zajicek—8111151
WJul 20 · 14:40J. Dohnal—811113113M. Zajicek—11261172
LApr 25 · 08:25J. Dohnal—11791162M. Zajicek—411117113
J. Dohnal10
WSep 6 · 10:04J. Dohnal1.83111135113P. Vodal1.8364111192LSep 6 · 08:20J. Dohnal2.10157681T. Hnizdil1.67131111113WSep 6 · 07:20J. Dohnal1.73111111153B. Budik2.007913131WSep 6 · 06:20J. Dohnal1.801181011113P. Vodal1.9171112962WSep 5 · 14:30A. Jr2.2587111182J. Dohnal1.55111189113WSep 5 · 13:25L. Rek1.67127951J. Dohnal2.10101111113LSep 5 · 12:25J. Dohnal1.33918261A. Jr3.2511161193WSep 5 · 10:55J. Sebl2.7591011101J. Dohnal1.4011129123WSep 3 · 21:28D. Pasek1.6784111382J. Dohnal2.101111911113WSep 3 · 20:20J. Dohnal2.001612125153M. Filipek1.7314101411132
M. Zajicek10
LAug 19 · 22:05Z. Vyskocil4.158111211113M. Zajicek1.19111310882LAug 19 · 20:55M. Zajicek1.61119115152C. Kratochvil2.20811911173LAug 19 · 19:55M. Zajicek1.91114941T. Barsa1.8061111113LAug 19 · 18:55M. Zajicek1.7310330Z. Vyskocil2.001211113LJul 30 · 22:25M. Zajicek1.1911811232Z. Vyskocil3.90511711113WJul 30 · 20:55Z. Dusek2.5011281382M. Zajicek1.506111111113WJul 30 · 20:25Z. Vyskocil1.7311370M. Zajicek2.001115113WJul 30 · 19:25M. Zajicek2.1013611113T. Jr1.671111581WJul 29 · 20:55Z. Dusek2.009850M. Zajicek1.731111113LJul 29 · 20:25J. Dohnal1.5381111113M. Zajicek2.38116761
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